Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 11 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 34–36 °C because official and ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models consistently project daytime highs near 35 °C under subtropical summer conditions. Recent persistence of 34 °C readings, combined with the Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures, reinforces this range. Differentiation among the leading buckets hinges on small forecast differences in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer mixing: scattered showers can cap peaks near 34 °C while clearer intervals allow brief spikes to 36 °C. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ weighting of these variables against historical August variability and the proximity of resolution in two days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 11 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 11 août ?
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 17%
33°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 août 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
12%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
17%
37°C
8%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 17%
33°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 août 2026
30°C or below
$274 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$371 Vol.
2%
32°C
$433 Vol.
3%
33°C
$225 Vol.
12%
34°C
$587 Vol.
30%
35°C
$381 Vol.
35%
36°C
$180 Vol.
17%
37°C
$835 Vol.
8%
38°C
$1,305 Vol.
2%
39°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$42 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 11 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 34–36 °C because official and ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models consistently project daytime highs near 35 °C under subtropical summer conditions. Recent persistence of 34 °C readings, combined with the Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures, reinforces this range. Differentiation among the leading buckets hinges on small forecast differences in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer mixing: scattered showers can cap peaks near 34 °C while clearer intervals allow brief spikes to 36 °C. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ weighting of these variables against historical August variability and the proximity of resolution in two days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$4,658Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 11 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 34–36 °C because official and ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models consistently project daytime highs near 35 °C under subtropical summer conditions. Recent persistence of 34 °C readings, combined with the Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures, reinforces this range. Differentiation among the leading buckets hinges on small forecast differences in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer mixing: scattered showers can cap peaks near 34 °C while clearer intervals allow brief spikes to 36 °C. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ weighting of these variables against historical August variability and the proximity of resolution in two days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,658Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 11 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 34–36 °C because official and ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models consistently project daytime highs near 35 °C under subtropical summer conditions. Recent persistence of 34 °C readings, combined with the Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures, reinforces this range. Differentiation among the leading buckets hinges on small forecast differences in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer mixing: scattered showers can cap peaks near 34 °C while clearer intervals allow brief spikes to 36 °C. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ weighting of these variables against historical August variability and the proximity of resolution in two days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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