Latest Met Office and ensemble model runs position a 25–26°C peak as the most probable outcome for London on August 11, reflecting high-pressure influence and southerly flow of warmer air that has kept recent days near or above seasonal norms. Ensemble spread remains modest but includes scenarios for slightly cooler readings if increased cloud or a quicker Atlantic front arrives, while drier conditions could allow isolated spots to edge toward 27°C. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 11 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 11 août ?
25°C 44%
26°C 25%
24°C 22%
27°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 août 2026
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
22%
25°C
44%
26°C
25%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 44%
26°C 25%
24°C 22%
27°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 août 2026
20°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$90 Vol.
1%
23°C
$127 Vol.
2%
24°C
$110 Vol.
22%
25°C
$333 Vol.
44%
26°C
$155 Vol.
25%
27°C
$72 Vol.
10%
28°C
$15 Vol.
2%
29°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou plus
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and ensemble model runs position a 25–26°C peak as the most probable outcome for London on August 11, reflecting high-pressure influence and southerly flow of warmer air that has kept recent days near or above seasonal norms. Ensemble spread remains modest but includes scenarios for slightly cooler readings if increased cloud or a quicker Atlantic front arrives, while drier conditions could allow isolated spots to edge toward 27°C. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$983Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and ensemble model runs position a 25–26°C peak as the most probable outcome for London on August 11, reflecting high-pressure influence and southerly flow of warmer air that has kept recent days near or above seasonal norms. Ensemble spread remains modest but includes scenarios for slightly cooler readings if increased cloud or a quicker Atlantic front arrives, while drier conditions could allow isolated spots to edge toward 27°C. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$983Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and ensemble model runs position a 25–26°C peak as the most probable outcome for London on August 11, reflecting high-pressure influence and southerly flow of warmer air that has kept recent days near or above seasonal norms. Ensemble spread remains modest but includes scenarios for slightly cooler readings if increased cloud or a quicker Atlantic front arrives, while drier conditions could allow isolated spots to edge toward 27°C. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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