Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights frequent cloud cover and showers expected over Shanghai on August 12, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima clustered near seasonal norms of 30–31°C. Persistent tropical moisture and a weak steering pattern favor widespread stratiform rain, which reduces surface energy budgets and caps peaks relative to clearer-sky analogs. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance produce the tight market clustering between 29°C and 30°C implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity rather than large-scale synoptic shifts. Updated runs through the weekend will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 12 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 12 août ?
29°C 39%
30°C 36%
28°C 18%
31°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
18%
29°C
39%
30°C
36%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 39%
30°C 36%
28°C 18%
31°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
24°C ou moins
$54 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$44 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$44 Vol.
1%
27°C
$76 Vol.
4%
28°C
$253 Vol.
18%
29°C
$263 Vol.
39%
30°C
$60 Vol.
36%
31°C
$210 Vol.
9%
32°C
$87 Vol.
3%
33°C
$251 Vol.
1%
34°C ou plus
$56 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights frequent cloud cover and showers expected over Shanghai on August 12, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima clustered near seasonal norms of 30–31°C. Persistent tropical moisture and a weak steering pattern favor widespread stratiform rain, which reduces surface energy budgets and caps peaks relative to clearer-sky analogs. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance produce the tight market clustering between 29°C and 30°C implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity rather than large-scale synoptic shifts. Updated runs through the weekend will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,397Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights frequent cloud cover and showers expected over Shanghai on August 12, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima clustered near seasonal norms of 30–31°C. Persistent tropical moisture and a weak steering pattern favor widespread stratiform rain, which reduces surface energy budgets and caps peaks relative to clearer-sky analogs. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance produce the tight market clustering between 29°C and 30°C implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity rather than large-scale synoptic shifts. Updated runs through the weekend will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,397Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights frequent cloud cover and showers expected over Shanghai on August 12, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima clustered near seasonal norms of 30–31°C. Persistent tropical moisture and a weak steering pattern favor widespread stratiform rain, which reduces surface energy budgets and caps peaks relative to clearer-sky analogs. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance produce the tight market clustering between 29°C and 30°C implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity rather than large-scale synoptic shifts. Updated runs through the weekend will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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