Current forecasts from meteorological services indicate a high near 16–17°C in São Paulo on August 11, driven by persistent cloud cover, southeasterly flow, and modest daytime heating following overnight lows around 13°C. This aligns with winter climatology in the region, where typical August maxima reach 23–25°C but cool advection and overcast skies can suppress temperatures by several degrees. Model consensus favors limited warming under these conditions, positioning 17°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability and 16°C close behind. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance heavily, with resolution dependent on official observations once the day concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 11 août ?
17°C 46%
16°C 33%
18°C 15%
15°C 5%
$10,180 Vol.
$10,180 Vol.
11°C ou moins
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
33%
17°C
46%
18°C
15%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C ou plus
1%
17°C 46%
16°C 33%
18°C 15%
15°C 5%
$10,180 Vol.
$10,180 Vol.
11°C ou moins
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
33%
17°C
46%
18°C
15%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C ou plus
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological services indicate a high near 16–17°C in São Paulo on August 11, driven by persistent cloud cover, southeasterly flow, and modest daytime heating following overnight lows around 13°C. This aligns with winter climatology in the region, where typical August maxima reach 23–25°C but cool advection and overcast skies can suppress temperatures by several degrees. Model consensus favors limited warming under these conditions, positioning 17°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability and 16°C close behind. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance heavily, with resolution dependent on official observations once the day concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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