Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a moderating marine layer and onshore flow limiting peak temperatures at Los Angeles International Airport on August 10, positioning 78-79°F as the modal outcome. Typical August climatology shows highs near 83-85°F, yet persistent coastal stratus and sea breezes often suppress readings by several degrees, aligning with the current market-implied distribution favoring the low-to-mid 70s to upper 70s range. No significant heat advection or offshore wind event is forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 80°F or higher below 20% combined. Updated NWS short-term forecasts and morning soundings on August 10 will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 10 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 10 août ?
78-79°F 56%
76-77°F 29%
80-81°F 12%
74-75°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 août 2026
71°F ou moins
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
56%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86-87 °F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F ou plus
1%
78-79°F 56%
76-77°F 29%
80-81°F 12%
74-75°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 août 2026
71°F ou moins
$233 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$338 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$375 Vol.
29%
78-79°F
$1,511 Vol.
56%
80-81°F
$211 Vol.
12%
82-83°F
$179 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$7 Vol.
2%
86-87 °F
$356 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$399 Vol.
1%
90°F ou plus
$627 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a moderating marine layer and onshore flow limiting peak temperatures at Los Angeles International Airport on August 10, positioning 78-79°F as the modal outcome. Typical August climatology shows highs near 83-85°F, yet persistent coastal stratus and sea breezes often suppress readings by several degrees, aligning with the current market-implied distribution favoring the low-to-mid 70s to upper 70s range. No significant heat advection or offshore wind event is forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 80°F or higher below 20% combined. Updated NWS short-term forecasts and morning soundings on August 10 will provide the final observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$4,247Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a moderating marine layer and onshore flow limiting peak temperatures at Los Angeles International Airport on August 10, positioning 78-79°F as the modal outcome. Typical August climatology shows highs near 83-85°F, yet persistent coastal stratus and sea breezes often suppress readings by several degrees, aligning with the current market-implied distribution favoring the low-to-mid 70s to upper 70s range. No significant heat advection or offshore wind event is forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 80°F or higher below 20% combined. Updated NWS short-term forecasts and morning soundings on August 10 will provide the final observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,247Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a moderating marine layer and onshore flow limiting peak temperatures at Los Angeles International Airport on August 10, positioning 78-79°F as the modal outcome. Typical August climatology shows highs near 83-85°F, yet persistent coastal stratus and sea breezes often suppress readings by several degrees, aligning with the current market-implied distribution favoring the low-to-mid 70s to upper 70s range. No significant heat advection or offshore wind event is forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 80°F or higher below 20% combined. Updated NWS short-term forecasts and morning soundings on August 10 will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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