Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 34°C maximum for Incheon on August 11 under clear skies with negligible precipitation, following a prolonged early-August heatwave that produced a national record of 42.5°C. This setup, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence and strong insolation typical of late-summer patterns, positions 33–34°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with recent station readings near 34°C. Traders appear to weight the deterministic KMA guidance heavily while allowing modest variance for exact peak timing or microscale differences between Seoul and Incheon stations. With the event less than 24 hours away and no major model shifts indicated, implied probabilities cluster tightly around the forecast high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 11 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 11 août ?
33°C 39%
32°C 23%
34°C 22%
31°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 août 2026
27°C ou moins
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
23%
33°C
39%
34°C
22%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C ou plus
1%
33°C 39%
32°C 23%
34°C 22%
31°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 août 2026
27°C ou moins
$426 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$691 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$36 Vol.
1%
30°C
$91 Vol.
4%
31°C
$94 Vol.
8%
32°C
$118 Vol.
23%
33°C
$506 Vol.
39%
34°C
$213 Vol.
22%
35°C
$182 Vol.
7%
36°C
$161 Vol.
2%
37°C ou plus
$869 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 34°C maximum for Incheon on August 11 under clear skies with negligible precipitation, following a prolonged early-August heatwave that produced a national record of 42.5°C. This setup, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence and strong insolation typical of late-summer patterns, positions 33–34°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with recent station readings near 34°C. Traders appear to weight the deterministic KMA guidance heavily while allowing modest variance for exact peak timing or microscale differences between Seoul and Incheon stations. With the event less than 24 hours away and no major model shifts indicated, implied probabilities cluster tightly around the forecast high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$3,306Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 34°C maximum for Incheon on August 11 under clear skies with negligible precipitation, following a prolonged early-August heatwave that produced a national record of 42.5°C. This setup, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence and strong insolation typical of late-summer patterns, positions 33–34°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with recent station readings near 34°C. Traders appear to weight the deterministic KMA guidance heavily while allowing modest variance for exact peak timing or microscale differences between Seoul and Incheon stations. With the event less than 24 hours away and no major model shifts indicated, implied probabilities cluster tightly around the forecast high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,306Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 34°C maximum for Incheon on August 11 under clear skies with negligible precipitation, following a prolonged early-August heatwave that produced a national record of 42.5°C. This setup, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence and strong insolation typical of late-summer patterns, positions 33–34°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with recent station readings near 34°C. Traders appear to weight the deterministic KMA guidance heavily while allowing modest variance for exact peak timing or microscale differences between Seoul and Incheon stations. With the event less than 24 hours away and no major model shifts indicated, implied probabilities cluster tightly around the forecast high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes