**Persistent subtropical high pressure and clear, sunny conditions are positioning 33°C as the market favorite for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on August 13, 2026, with 34°C a close secondary outcome.** Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models show a daytime maximum of 33°C (around 91°F) under mostly clear skies, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 30–32°C August highs along the Mediterranean coast. Sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light to moderate northerly winds support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation that could suppress peaks. Recent stability—no incoming troughs or heat-wave amplification in the past several days—has kept probabilities tightly clustered around the 33–34°C range, reflecting high model consensus for this short lead time. Minor upside risk to 34°C exists if solar insolation maximizes or winds remain light, while cooler outcomes below 32°C would require unexpected marine layer strengthening or timing shifts not currently indicated. Upcoming model runs and official updates over the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 13 août ?
33°C 59%
34°C 32%
32°C 8%
35°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
59%
34°C
32%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
34°C 32%
32°C 8%
35°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
59%
34°C
32%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent subtropical high pressure and clear, sunny conditions are positioning 33°C as the market favorite for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on August 13, 2026, with 34°C a close secondary outcome.** Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models show a daytime maximum of 33°C (around 91°F) under mostly clear skies, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 30–32°C August highs along the Mediterranean coast. Sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light to moderate northerly winds support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation that could suppress peaks. Recent stability—no incoming troughs or heat-wave amplification in the past several days—has kept probabilities tightly clustered around the 33–34°C range, reflecting high model consensus for this short lead time. Minor upside risk to 34°C exists if solar insolation maximizes or winds remain light, while cooler outcomes below 32°C would require unexpected marine layer strengthening or timing shifts not currently indicated. Upcoming model runs and official updates over the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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