High pressure building across northwest Europe is driving Met Office amber extreme-heat warnings and consensus forecasts for London’s peak temperature on August 13 into the mid-30s Celsius. Strong subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southeasterly winds are maximizing daytime solar heating while minimizing cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble model spreads, small differences in thin-cloud timing, and London’s urban heat-island effect create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 35 °C and 37 °C, with 36 °C currently favored. Updated short-range guidance and final observational data on the day remain the key variables that could shift resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 13 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 13 août ?
36°C 37%
35°C 33%
37°C 16%
34°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
9%
35°C
33%
36°C
37%
37°C
16%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 33%
37°C 16%
34°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
30°C or below
$2,716 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$749 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$208 Vol.
2%
33°C
$569 Vol.
3%
34°C
$588 Vol.
9%
35°C
$1,909 Vol.
33%
36°C
$1,119 Vol.
37%
37°C
$565 Vol.
16%
38°C
$729 Vol.
3%
39°C
$133 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$87 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure building across northwest Europe is driving Met Office amber extreme-heat warnings and consensus forecasts for London’s peak temperature on August 13 into the mid-30s Celsius. Strong subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southeasterly winds are maximizing daytime solar heating while minimizing cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble model spreads, small differences in thin-cloud timing, and London’s urban heat-island effect create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 35 °C and 37 °C, with 36 °C currently favored. Updated short-range guidance and final observational data on the day remain the key variables that could shift resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$9,372Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure building across northwest Europe is driving Met Office amber extreme-heat warnings and consensus forecasts for London’s peak temperature on August 13 into the mid-30s Celsius. Strong subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southeasterly winds are maximizing daytime solar heating while minimizing cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble model spreads, small differences in thin-cloud timing, and London’s urban heat-island effect create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 35 °C and 37 °C, with 36 °C currently favored. Updated short-range guidance and final observational data on the day remain the key variables that could shift resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,372Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...High pressure building across northwest Europe is driving Met Office amber extreme-heat warnings and consensus forecasts for London’s peak temperature on August 13 into the mid-30s Celsius. Strong subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southeasterly winds are maximizing daytime solar heating while minimizing cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble model spreads, small differences in thin-cloud timing, and London’s urban heat-island effect create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 35 °C and 37 °C, with 36 °C currently favored. Updated short-range guidance and final observational data on the day remain the key variables that could shift resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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