Recent Met Office and supporting model runs show London under sunny intervals with light northerly flow after a hot preceding day, keeping the overnight minimum near 20 °C and preventing further nocturnal cooling. This consensus on mild conditions under clear-to-partly-cloudy skies underpins the 93 % market-implied probability for a 20 °C low. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or stronger radiational cooling than currently modeled, which could push readings to 17–18 °C before the daily minimum is recorded. Updated hourly observations and the next model cycle will clarify whether the temperature floor holds or drops.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 15 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 15 août ?
20°C 93%
19°C 6%
18°C <1%
14°C ou moins <1%
$16,841 Vol.
$16,841 Vol.
15 août 2026
14°C ou moins
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
93%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
20°C 93%
19°C 6%
18°C <1%
14°C ou moins <1%
$16,841 Vol.
$16,841 Vol.
15 août 2026
14°C ou moins
$1,032 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$572 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$464 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$831 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,592 Vol.
1%
19°C
$3,137 Vol.
6%
20°C
$5,203 Vol.
93%
21°C
$2,499 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$910 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
24°C ou plus
$265 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and supporting model runs show London under sunny intervals with light northerly flow after a hot preceding day, keeping the overnight minimum near 20 °C and preventing further nocturnal cooling. This consensus on mild conditions under clear-to-partly-cloudy skies underpins the 93 % market-implied probability for a 20 °C low. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or stronger radiational cooling than currently modeled, which could push readings to 17–18 °C before the daily minimum is recorded. Updated hourly observations and the next model cycle will clarify whether the temperature floor holds or drops.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$16,841Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and supporting model runs show London under sunny intervals with light northerly flow after a hot preceding day, keeping the overnight minimum near 20 °C and preventing further nocturnal cooling. This consensus on mild conditions under clear-to-partly-cloudy skies underpins the 93 % market-implied probability for a 20 °C low. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or stronger radiational cooling than currently modeled, which could push readings to 17–18 °C before the daily minimum is recorded. Updated hourly observations and the next model cycle will clarify whether the temperature floor holds or drops.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,841Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and supporting model runs show London under sunny intervals with light northerly flow after a hot preceding day, keeping the overnight minimum near 20 °C and preventing further nocturnal cooling. This consensus on mild conditions under clear-to-partly-cloudy skies underpins the 93 % market-implied probability for a 20 °C low. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or stronger radiational cooling than currently modeled, which could push readings to 17–18 °C before the daily minimum is recorded. Updated hourly observations and the next model cycle will clarify whether the temperature floor holds or drops.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes