National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position the lowest temperature in New York City on August 16 near 70–72°F, aligning with the market’s leading 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins that together exceed 78% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridging and typical late-summer dew points in the mid-60s moderate overnight cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Central Park further elevates minima relative to surrounding areas. Historical Central Park normals for the date center on 69°F, and current guidance shows limited variability absent any frontal passage or stronger marine influence. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of recent model output and the low chance of significant cooling before sunrise, with the next NWS forecast updates expected to refine these ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 16 août ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 16 août ?
70-71 °F 48%
72-73°F 30%
68-69°F 14%
66-67°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
63°F ou moins
<1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
14%
70-71 °F
48%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
5%
76-77 °F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81 °F
<1%
82°F ou plus
<1%
70-71 °F 48%
72-73°F 30%
68-69°F 14%
66-67°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
63°F ou moins
$90 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$162 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$79 Vol.
5%
68-69°F
$162 Vol.
14%
70-71 °F
$586 Vol.
48%
72-73°F
$243 Vol.
30%
74-75°F
$369 Vol.
5%
76-77 °F
$482 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$462 Vol.
<1%
80-81 °F
$10 Vol.
<1%
82°F ou plus
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position the lowest temperature in New York City on August 16 near 70–72°F, aligning with the market’s leading 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins that together exceed 78% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridging and typical late-summer dew points in the mid-60s moderate overnight cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Central Park further elevates minima relative to surrounding areas. Historical Central Park normals for the date center on 69°F, and current guidance shows limited variability absent any frontal passage or stronger marine influence. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of recent model output and the low chance of significant cooling before sunrise, with the next NWS forecast updates expected to refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$2,654Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position the lowest temperature in New York City on August 16 near 70–72°F, aligning with the market’s leading 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins that together exceed 78% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridging and typical late-summer dew points in the mid-60s moderate overnight cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Central Park further elevates minima relative to surrounding areas. Historical Central Park normals for the date center on 69°F, and current guidance shows limited variability absent any frontal passage or stronger marine influence. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of recent model output and the low chance of significant cooling before sunrise, with the next NWS forecast updates expected to refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,654Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position the lowest temperature in New York City on August 16 near 70–72°F, aligning with the market’s leading 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins that together exceed 78% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridging and typical late-summer dew points in the mid-60s moderate overnight cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Central Park further elevates minima relative to surrounding areas. Historical Central Park normals for the date center on 69°F, and current guidance shows limited variability absent any frontal passage or stronger marine influence. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of recent model output and the low chance of significant cooling before sunrise, with the next NWS forecast updates expected to refine these ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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