Latest meteorological forecasts for Moscow on August 16 point to daytime highs centered around 24–26°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 25°C (40% implied probability) and 24°C (26%). Numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a transitional high-pressure influence moderating summer warmth, with limited convective activity and light winds supporting stable temperatures near seasonal norms of 22–24°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight upward revisions in recent runs have bolstered the 25–26°C range while keeping probabilities for 27°C or higher below 7% combined. Updated model guidance and any short-term satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 16 août ?
25°C 41%
24°C 28%
26°C 16%
23°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
13%
24°C
28%
25°C
41%
26°C
16%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
2%
25°C 41%
24°C 28%
26°C 16%
23°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
20°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
21°C
$175 Vol.
2%
22°C
$93 Vol.
3%
23°C
$291 Vol.
13%
24°C
$134 Vol.
28%
25°C
$212 Vol.
41%
26°C
$266 Vol.
16%
27°C
$5 Vol.
5%
28°C
$74 Vol.
2%
29°C
$155 Vol.
3%
30°C or higher
$20 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts for Moscow on August 16 point to daytime highs centered around 24–26°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 25°C (40% implied probability) and 24°C (26%). Numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a transitional high-pressure influence moderating summer warmth, with limited convective activity and light winds supporting stable temperatures near seasonal norms of 22–24°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight upward revisions in recent runs have bolstered the 25–26°C range while keeping probabilities for 27°C or higher below 7% combined. Updated model guidance and any short-term satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,436Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts for Moscow on August 16 point to daytime highs centered around 24–26°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 25°C (40% implied probability) and 24°C (26%). Numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a transitional high-pressure influence moderating summer warmth, with limited convective activity and light winds supporting stable temperatures near seasonal norms of 22–24°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight upward revisions in recent runs have bolstered the 25–26°C range while keeping probabilities for 27°C or higher below 7% combined. Updated model guidance and any short-term satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,436Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts for Moscow on August 16 point to daytime highs centered around 24–26°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 25°C (40% implied probability) and 24°C (26%). Numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a transitional high-pressure influence moderating summer warmth, with limited convective activity and light winds supporting stable temperatures near seasonal norms of 22–24°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight upward revisions in recent runs have bolstered the 25–26°C range while keeping probabilities for 27°C or higher below 7% combined. Updated model guidance and any short-term satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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