Recent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather points to a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Warsaw on August 16, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31°C. Mostly cloudy skies with sunny intervals, light westerly winds near 10 mph, and a moderating warm air mass limit stronger daytime heating while preventing rapid cooling. Model consensus emphasizes these conditions over central Poland, where modest cloud cover and timing of any breaks in sunshine create the narrow range separating the leading outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will refine exact cloud trends and boundary-layer mixing that ultimately determine whether the peak registers at 29°C or edges into the low 30s.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 16 août ?
30°C 36%
29°C 26%
31°C 20%
32°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
26%
30°C
36%
31°C
20%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 36%
29°C 26%
31°C 20%
32°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
23°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$397 Vol.
1%
27°C
$475 Vol.
3%
28°C
$662 Vol.
6%
29°C
$791 Vol.
26%
30°C
$1,068 Vol.
36%
31°C
$1,814 Vol.
20%
32°C
$1,538 Vol.
8%
33°C or higher
$394 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather points to a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Warsaw on August 16, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31°C. Mostly cloudy skies with sunny intervals, light westerly winds near 10 mph, and a moderating warm air mass limit stronger daytime heating while preventing rapid cooling. Model consensus emphasizes these conditions over central Poland, where modest cloud cover and timing of any breaks in sunshine create the narrow range separating the leading outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will refine exact cloud trends and boundary-layer mixing that ultimately determine whether the peak registers at 29°C or edges into the low 30s.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$8,075Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather points to a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Warsaw on August 16, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31°C. Mostly cloudy skies with sunny intervals, light westerly winds near 10 mph, and a moderating warm air mass limit stronger daytime heating while preventing rapid cooling. Model consensus emphasizes these conditions over central Poland, where modest cloud cover and timing of any breaks in sunshine create the narrow range separating the leading outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will refine exact cloud trends and boundary-layer mixing that ultimately determine whether the peak registers at 29°C or edges into the low 30s.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,075Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather points to a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Warsaw on August 16, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31°C. Mostly cloudy skies with sunny intervals, light westerly winds near 10 mph, and a moderating warm air mass limit stronger daytime heating while preventing rapid cooling. Model consensus emphasizes these conditions over central Poland, where modest cloud cover and timing of any breaks in sunshine create the narrow range separating the leading outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will refine exact cloud trends and boundary-layer mixing that ultimately determine whether the peak registers at 29°C or edges into the low 30s.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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