Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological models points to persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity across Shanghai on August 16, suppressing daytime solar heating and capping the maximum near 30–31 °C. This synoptic setup—marked by abundant moisture and light steering winds—has reduced potential for clearer skies or stronger insolation that would push readings to 32 °C or higher, aligning with trader consensus favoring those two outcomes at combined 85% implied probability. Seasonal August baselines average 31–33 °C, yet the current pattern has shifted sentiment downward from climatology. Official station data from the China Meteorological Administration will determine the precise daily maximum, with any last-minute model shifts in cloud cover or rainfall offering the main remaining uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 16 août ?
30°C 48%
31°C 38%
29°C 9%
32°C 6%
NOUVEAU
$23,784 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$23,784 Vol.
16 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
48%
31°C
38%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 48%
31°C 38%
29°C 9%
32°C 6%
NOUVEAU
$23,784 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$23,784 Vol.
16 août 2026
25°C or below
$324 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$293 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,062 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,945 Vol.
3%
29°C
$3,790 Vol.
9%
30°C
$3,493 Vol.
48%
31°C
$6,267 Vol.
38%
32°C
$2,788 Vol.
6%
33°C
$1,330 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,149 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological models points to persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity across Shanghai on August 16, suppressing daytime solar heating and capping the maximum near 30–31 °C. This synoptic setup—marked by abundant moisture and light steering winds—has reduced potential for clearer skies or stronger insolation that would push readings to 32 °C or higher, aligning with trader consensus favoring those two outcomes at combined 85% implied probability. Seasonal August baselines average 31–33 °C, yet the current pattern has shifted sentiment downward from climatology. Official station data from the China Meteorological Administration will determine the precise daily maximum, with any last-minute model shifts in cloud cover or rainfall offering the main remaining uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$23,784Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological models points to persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity across Shanghai on August 16, suppressing daytime solar heating and capping the maximum near 30–31 °C. This synoptic setup—marked by abundant moisture and light steering winds—has reduced potential for clearer skies or stronger insolation that would push readings to 32 °C or higher, aligning with trader consensus favoring those two outcomes at combined 85% implied probability. Seasonal August baselines average 31–33 °C, yet the current pattern has shifted sentiment downward from climatology. Official station data from the China Meteorological Administration will determine the precise daily maximum, with any last-minute model shifts in cloud cover or rainfall offering the main remaining uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,784Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological models points to persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity across Shanghai on August 16, suppressing daytime solar heating and capping the maximum near 30–31 °C. This synoptic setup—marked by abundant moisture and light steering winds—has reduced potential for clearer skies or stronger insolation that would push readings to 32 °C or higher, aligning with trader consensus favoring those two outcomes at combined 85% implied probability. Seasonal August baselines average 31–33 °C, yet the current pattern has shifted sentiment downward from climatology. Official station data from the China Meteorological Administration will determine the precise daily maximum, with any last-minute model shifts in cloud cover or rainfall offering the main remaining uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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