Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 15, 2026, project a maximum temperature of 31–33°C under light rain and humid southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-certain 31°C outcome. Ongoing midday readings near 31°C at urban stations, combined with typical August climatology (average highs ~32°C) and post-typhoon subsidence moderating, reinforce trader consensus that the official daily maximum will settle at 31°C. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating due to cloud cover and showers. A sudden clearing of skies or localized heat buildup could push readings to 32–33°C, while heavier rainfall or measurement adjustments at the Observatory reference site remain the primary variables that could alter the result before close of observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 15 août ?
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$274,358 Vol.
$274,358 Vol.
15 août 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$274,358 Vol.
$274,358 Vol.
15 août 2026
27°C or below
$4,885 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$33,519 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$32,773 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$24,447 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$41,867 Vol.
100%
32°C
$45,042 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$35,844 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$28,009 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$4,079 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,633 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$21,260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 15, 2026, project a maximum temperature of 31–33°C under light rain and humid southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-certain 31°C outcome. Ongoing midday readings near 31°C at urban stations, combined with typical August climatology (average highs ~32°C) and post-typhoon subsidence moderating, reinforce trader consensus that the official daily maximum will settle at 31°C. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating due to cloud cover and showers. A sudden clearing of skies or localized heat buildup could push readings to 32–33°C, while heavier rainfall or measurement adjustments at the Observatory reference site remain the primary variables that could alter the result before close of observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$274,358Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 15, 2026, project a maximum temperature of 31–33°C under light rain and humid southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-certain 31°C outcome. Ongoing midday readings near 31°C at urban stations, combined with typical August climatology (average highs ~32°C) and post-typhoon subsidence moderating, reinforce trader consensus that the official daily maximum will settle at 31°C. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating due to cloud cover and showers. A sudden clearing of skies or localized heat buildup could push readings to 32–33°C, while heavier rainfall or measurement adjustments at the Observatory reference site remain the primary variables that could alter the result before close of observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$274,358Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 15, 2026, project a maximum temperature of 31–33°C under light rain and humid southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-certain 31°C outcome. Ongoing midday readings near 31°C at urban stations, combined with typical August climatology (average highs ~32°C) and post-typhoon subsidence moderating, reinforce trader consensus that the official daily maximum will settle at 31°C. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating due to cloud cover and showers. A sudden clearing of skies or localized heat buildup could push readings to 32–33°C, while heavier rainfall or measurement adjustments at the Observatory reference site remain the primary variables that could alter the result before close of observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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