The overwhelming market consensus at 26°C (99.9% implied probability) reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official minimum temperature reading for August 15, 2026, which aligned precisely with that threshold. Subtropical summer conditions, with overnight lows typically 27–29°C under humid, cloudy skies and light winds, produced this value through standard Stevenson screen measurements at the primary urban station. Historical August climatology supports such nighttime minima absent strong cold surges or typhoon influences. Only an unlikely revision to the Observatory’s verified daily summary, use of an alternate station for resolution, or documented instrumental discrepancy could shift the outcome, scenarios traders correctly assign negligible probability given the data’s recency and authority.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 15 août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 15 août ?
26°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
22°C ou moins <1%
$44,610 Vol.
$44,610 Vol.
15 août 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
22°C ou moins <1%
$44,610 Vol.
$44,610 Vol.
15 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$723 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,016 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,312 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,983 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$11,921 Vol.
100%
27°C
$8,410 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,934 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,370 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,073 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$430 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$440 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus at 26°C (99.9% implied probability) reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official minimum temperature reading for August 15, 2026, which aligned precisely with that threshold. Subtropical summer conditions, with overnight lows typically 27–29°C under humid, cloudy skies and light winds, produced this value through standard Stevenson screen measurements at the primary urban station. Historical August climatology supports such nighttime minima absent strong cold surges or typhoon influences. Only an unlikely revision to the Observatory’s verified daily summary, use of an alternate station for resolution, or documented instrumental discrepancy could shift the outcome, scenarios traders correctly assign negligible probability given the data’s recency and authority.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$44,610Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus at 26°C (99.9% implied probability) reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official minimum temperature reading for August 15, 2026, which aligned precisely with that threshold. Subtropical summer conditions, with overnight lows typically 27–29°C under humid, cloudy skies and light winds, produced this value through standard Stevenson screen measurements at the primary urban station. Historical August climatology supports such nighttime minima absent strong cold surges or typhoon influences. Only an unlikely revision to the Observatory’s verified daily summary, use of an alternate station for resolution, or documented instrumental discrepancy could shift the outcome, scenarios traders correctly assign negligible probability given the data’s recency and authority.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,610Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming market consensus at 26°C (99.9% implied probability) reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official minimum temperature reading for August 15, 2026, which aligned precisely with that threshold. Subtropical summer conditions, with overnight lows typically 27–29°C under humid, cloudy skies and light winds, produced this value through standard Stevenson screen measurements at the primary urban station. Historical August climatology supports such nighttime minima absent strong cold surges or typhoon influences. Only an unlikely revision to the Observatory’s verified daily summary, use of an alternate station for resolution, or documented instrumental discrepancy could shift the outcome, scenarios traders correctly assign negligible probability given the data’s recency and authority.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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