Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high of around 10°C for Wellington on August 18 amid persistent southerly flow and lingering effects from a recent polar air outbreak, positioning 9°C as the market leader. August climatology shows typical daily maxima near 12°C, but cooler-than-average conditions this month—driven by strengthened high-pressure systems and cold advection—have shifted trader consensus toward lower outcomes. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures overall, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty in exact maximums due to variable cloud cover and wind strength. Updated guidance expected from national forecasters over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 18 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 18 août ?
12°C 50%
11°C 37%
10°C 12%
9°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
6%
9°C
10%
10°C
12%
11°C
37%
12°C
26%
13°C
6%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
1%
12°C 50%
11°C 37%
10°C 12%
9°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
7°C
$0 Vol.
1%
8°C
$0 Vol.
6%
9°C
$0 Vol.
10%
10°C
$0 Vol.
12%
11°C
$0 Vol.
37%
12°C
$18 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
6%
14°C
$0 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
1%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high of around 10°C for Wellington on August 18 amid persistent southerly flow and lingering effects from a recent polar air outbreak, positioning 9°C as the market leader. August climatology shows typical daily maxima near 12°C, but cooler-than-average conditions this month—driven by strengthened high-pressure systems and cold advection—have shifted trader consensus toward lower outcomes. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures overall, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty in exact maximums due to variable cloud cover and wind strength. Updated guidance expected from national forecasters over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$18Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high of around 10°C for Wellington on August 18 amid persistent southerly flow and lingering effects from a recent polar air outbreak, positioning 9°C as the market leader. August climatology shows typical daily maxima near 12°C, but cooler-than-average conditions this month—driven by strengthened high-pressure systems and cold advection—have shifted trader consensus toward lower outcomes. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures overall, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty in exact maximums due to variable cloud cover and wind strength. Updated guidance expected from national forecasters over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high of around 10°C for Wellington on August 18 amid persistent southerly flow and lingering effects from a recent polar air outbreak, positioning 9°C as the market leader. August climatology shows typical daily maxima near 12°C, but cooler-than-average conditions this month—driven by strengthened high-pressure systems and cold advection—have shifted trader consensus toward lower outcomes. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures overall, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty in exact maximums due to variable cloud cover and wind strength. Updated guidance expected from national forecasters over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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