Recent short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center shows Moscow's August 18 daily maximum likely peaking near 22–24 °C, with the tight spread among leading market outcomes reflecting modest model disagreement on cloud cover and any late-day showers. A weak high-pressure ridge supports daytime solar heating, yet variable moisture and light winds introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August maxima average near 21–23 °C, providing climatological context, while the narrow probability distribution underscores how small shifts in forecast timing or precipitation intensity can alter the observed high by 1–2 °C before official station data finalize the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 18 août ?
23°C 41%
22°C 26%
24°C 22%
21°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
18°C or below
5%
19°C
7%
20°C
11%
21°C
14%
22°C
26%
23°C
41%
24°C
22%
25°C
9%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
3%
23°C 41%
22°C 26%
24°C 22%
21°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
18°C or below
$4 Vol.
5%
19°C
$75 Vol.
7%
20°C
$27 Vol.
11%
21°C
$0 Vol.
14%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$5 Vol.
41%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$90 Vol.
9%
26°C
$77 Vol.
4%
27°C
$5 Vol.
7%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center shows Moscow's August 18 daily maximum likely peaking near 22–24 °C, with the tight spread among leading market outcomes reflecting modest model disagreement on cloud cover and any late-day showers. A weak high-pressure ridge supports daytime solar heating, yet variable moisture and light winds introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August maxima average near 21–23 °C, providing climatological context, while the narrow probability distribution underscores how small shifts in forecast timing or precipitation intensity can alter the observed high by 1–2 °C before official station data finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$282Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center shows Moscow's August 18 daily maximum likely peaking near 22–24 °C, with the tight spread among leading market outcomes reflecting modest model disagreement on cloud cover and any late-day showers. A weak high-pressure ridge supports daytime solar heating, yet variable moisture and light winds introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August maxima average near 21–23 °C, providing climatological context, while the narrow probability distribution underscores how small shifts in forecast timing or precipitation intensity can alter the observed high by 1–2 °C before official station data finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$282Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center shows Moscow's August 18 daily maximum likely peaking near 22–24 °C, with the tight spread among leading market outcomes reflecting modest model disagreement on cloud cover and any late-day showers. A weak high-pressure ridge supports daytime solar heating, yet variable moisture and light winds introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August maxima average near 21–23 °C, providing climatological context, while the narrow probability distribution underscores how small shifts in forecast timing or precipitation intensity can alter the observed high by 1–2 °C before official station data finalize the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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