Ensemble forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a passing trough moderating insolation over the Sichuan Basin on August 18, keeping daytime maxima near 24–26°C rather than seasonal norms of 30–32°C. High humidity and evaporative cooling from rainfall further suppress peaks, with minor model spread in timing and intensity creating tight probabilities around 24°C and 25°C. Historical August analogs show similar patterns when subtropical highs weaken, though rapid shifts in steering flow could push outcomes higher if clearer conditions develop.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 18 août ?
25°C 25%
24°C 20%
23°C 20%
22°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
19%
23°C
20%
24°C
20%
25°C
25%
26°C
15%
27°C
13%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 25%
24°C 20%
23°C 20%
22°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
20°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
21°C
$35 Vol.
3%
22°C
$52 Vol.
19%
23°C
$119 Vol.
20%
24°C
$5 Vol.
20%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$2 Vol.
15%
27°C
$0 Vol.
13%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a passing trough moderating insolation over the Sichuan Basin on August 18, keeping daytime maxima near 24–26°C rather than seasonal norms of 30–32°C. High humidity and evaporative cooling from rainfall further suppress peaks, with minor model spread in timing and intensity creating tight probabilities around 24°C and 25°C. Historical August analogs show similar patterns when subtropical highs weaken, though rapid shifts in steering flow could push outcomes higher if clearer conditions develop.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$233Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a passing trough moderating insolation over the Sichuan Basin on August 18, keeping daytime maxima near 24–26°C rather than seasonal norms of 30–32°C. High humidity and evaporative cooling from rainfall further suppress peaks, with minor model spread in timing and intensity creating tight probabilities around 24°C and 25°C. Historical August analogs show similar patterns when subtropical highs weaken, though rapid shifts in steering flow could push outcomes higher if clearer conditions develop.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$233Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a passing trough moderating insolation over the Sichuan Basin on August 18, keeping daytime maxima near 24–26°C rather than seasonal norms of 30–32°C. High humidity and evaporative cooling from rainfall further suppress peaks, with minor model spread in timing and intensity creating tight probabilities around 24°C and 25°C. Historical August analogs show similar patterns when subtropical highs weaken, though rapid shifts in steering flow could push outcomes higher if clearer conditions develop.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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