Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance for August 16 points to a daytime maximum near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and 60% precipitation probability, with min temperatures around 24°C. Persistent cloud cover, moderate easterly flow, and sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea are expected to limit afternoon heating and suppress readings below late-summer climatological norms of 29–31°C. Model consensus favors convection that caps peaks at 28–29°C, aligning with the market’s leading 36% and 24% implied probabilities for those outcomes, while sustained rain or thicker decks reduce odds for 30°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these near-term cooling influences against any brief clearing windows that could briefly reach 30°C.