PAGASA's latest forecasts for Metro Manila on August 16 project daytime highs of 29–30°C amid active southwest monsoon conditions, with 30% rain chances and widespread cloud cover that typically caps peak temperatures. Recent heavy rainfall outlooks for August 15–17, driven by the habagat, have reinforced expectations of moderated maxima through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology in Manila shows average highs near 31°C, but current model consensus from PAGASA and AccuWeather aligns closer to 29–31°C under persistent moisture and breezy southwesterlies. These factors explain the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C (43%) and 31°C (24.5%), with traders monitoring any last-minute shifts in monsoon intensity or clearer skies that could allow brief spikes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 16 août ?
30°C 43%
31°C 25%
29°C 20%
28°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
20%
30°C
43%
31°C
25%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C ou plus
<1%
30°C 43%
31°C 25%
29°C 20%
28°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
24°C ou moins
$300 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$322 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$269 Vol.
1%
27°C
$243 Vol.
1%
28°C
$754 Vol.
9%
29°C
$1,247 Vol.
20%
30°C
$1,939 Vol.
43%
31°C
$727 Vol.
25%
32°C
$434 Vol.
7%
33°C
$271 Vol.
2%
34°C ou plus
$211 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest forecasts for Metro Manila on August 16 project daytime highs of 29–30°C amid active southwest monsoon conditions, with 30% rain chances and widespread cloud cover that typically caps peak temperatures. Recent heavy rainfall outlooks for August 15–17, driven by the habagat, have reinforced expectations of moderated maxima through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology in Manila shows average highs near 31°C, but current model consensus from PAGASA and AccuWeather aligns closer to 29–31°C under persistent moisture and breezy southwesterlies. These factors explain the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C (43%) and 31°C (24.5%), with traders monitoring any last-minute shifts in monsoon intensity or clearer skies that could allow brief spikes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$6,717Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest forecasts for Metro Manila on August 16 project daytime highs of 29–30°C amid active southwest monsoon conditions, with 30% rain chances and widespread cloud cover that typically caps peak temperatures. Recent heavy rainfall outlooks for August 15–17, driven by the habagat, have reinforced expectations of moderated maxima through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology in Manila shows average highs near 31°C, but current model consensus from PAGASA and AccuWeather aligns closer to 29–31°C under persistent moisture and breezy southwesterlies. These factors explain the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C (43%) and 31°C (24.5%), with traders monitoring any last-minute shifts in monsoon intensity or clearer skies that could allow brief spikes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,717Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest forecasts for Metro Manila on August 16 project daytime highs of 29–30°C amid active southwest monsoon conditions, with 30% rain chances and widespread cloud cover that typically caps peak temperatures. Recent heavy rainfall outlooks for August 15–17, driven by the habagat, have reinforced expectations of moderated maxima through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology in Manila shows average highs near 31°C, but current model consensus from PAGASA and AccuWeather aligns closer to 29–31°C under persistent moisture and breezy southwesterlies. These factors explain the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C (43%) and 31°C (24.5%), with traders monitoring any last-minute shifts in monsoon intensity or clearer skies that could allow brief spikes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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