Recent forecast guidance from major models places Milan’s August 16 maximum in the narrow 34–35 °C range, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Mid-level ridging and weak southwesterly flow favor warm advection, while modest low-level moisture and afternoon instability could trigger isolated thunderstorms that briefly limit peak heating. Ensemble spreads remain small because guidance agrees on 850 hPa temperatures near 20 °C and surface dew points in the upper teens; the decisive variables are the precise timing of any convection and the depth of daytime mixing. Updated runs from the ECMWF and GFS later today will tighten or widen that 1 °C window ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 16 août ?
34°C 41%
35°C 41%
33°C 10%
36°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
10%
34°C
41%
35°C
41%
36°C
9%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 41%
35°C 41%
33°C 10%
36°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
31°C or below
$669 Vol.
1%
32°C
$459 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,124 Vol.
10%
34°C
$1,668 Vol.
41%
35°C
$2,455 Vol.
41%
36°C
$940 Vol.
9%
37°C
$309 Vol.
1%
38°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$464 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from major models places Milan’s August 16 maximum in the narrow 34–35 °C range, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Mid-level ridging and weak southwesterly flow favor warm advection, while modest low-level moisture and afternoon instability could trigger isolated thunderstorms that briefly limit peak heating. Ensemble spreads remain small because guidance agrees on 850 hPa temperatures near 20 °C and surface dew points in the upper teens; the decisive variables are the precise timing of any convection and the depth of daytime mixing. Updated runs from the ECMWF and GFS later today will tighten or widen that 1 °C window ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,803Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from major models places Milan’s August 16 maximum in the narrow 34–35 °C range, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Mid-level ridging and weak southwesterly flow favor warm advection, while modest low-level moisture and afternoon instability could trigger isolated thunderstorms that briefly limit peak heating. Ensemble spreads remain small because guidance agrees on 850 hPa temperatures near 20 °C and surface dew points in the upper teens; the decisive variables are the precise timing of any convection and the depth of daytime mixing. Updated runs from the ECMWF and GFS later today will tighten or widen that 1 °C window ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,803Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from major models places Milan’s August 16 maximum in the narrow 34–35 °C range, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Mid-level ridging and weak southwesterly flow favor warm advection, while modest low-level moisture and afternoon instability could trigger isolated thunderstorms that briefly limit peak heating. Ensemble spreads remain small because guidance agrees on 850 hPa temperatures near 20 °C and surface dew points in the upper teens; the decisive variables are the precise timing of any convection and the depth of daytime mixing. Updated runs from the ECMWF and GFS later today will tighten or widen that 1 °C window ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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