Recent model consensus and observational data position 32°C as the leading outcome for Karachi’s August 18 maximum, with trader-implied probabilities clustering tightly around 31–33°C due to the city’s typical late-monsoon climatology. Coastal proximity to the Arabian Sea maintains high humidity that caps daytime heating through evaporative cooling and cloud cover, while suppressed convection and steady southeasterly flow have kept recent daily highs near the 32°C August average. Updated regional forecasts show no major heat advection or rainfall disruption through the period, limiting upside risk above 34°C and downside below 30°C. New model runs and surface observations expected over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Karachi le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Karachi le 18 août ?
32°C 47%
31°C 23%
33°C 21%
30°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
27°C ou moins
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
10%
31°C
23%
32°C
47%
33°C
21%
34°C
9%
35°C
7%
36°C
6%
37°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 47%
31°C 23%
33°C 21%
30°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
27°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$57 Vol.
9%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$9 Vol.
23%
32°C
$117 Vol.
47%
33°C
$23 Vol.
21%
34°C
$18 Vol.
9%
35°C
$15 Vol.
7%
36°C
$15 Vol.
6%
37°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observational data position 32°C as the leading outcome for Karachi’s August 18 maximum, with trader-implied probabilities clustering tightly around 31–33°C due to the city’s typical late-monsoon climatology. Coastal proximity to the Arabian Sea maintains high humidity that caps daytime heating through evaporative cooling and cloud cover, while suppressed convection and steady southeasterly flow have kept recent daily highs near the 32°C August average. Updated regional forecasts show no major heat advection or rainfall disruption through the period, limiting upside risk above 34°C and downside below 30°C. New model runs and surface observations expected over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$253Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observational data position 32°C as the leading outcome for Karachi’s August 18 maximum, with trader-implied probabilities clustering tightly around 31–33°C due to the city’s typical late-monsoon climatology. Coastal proximity to the Arabian Sea maintains high humidity that caps daytime heating through evaporative cooling and cloud cover, while suppressed convection and steady southeasterly flow have kept recent daily highs near the 32°C August average. Updated regional forecasts show no major heat advection or rainfall disruption through the period, limiting upside risk above 34°C and downside below 30°C. New model runs and surface observations expected over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$253Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and observational data position 32°C as the leading outcome for Karachi’s August 18 maximum, with trader-implied probabilities clustering tightly around 31–33°C due to the city’s typical late-monsoon climatology. Coastal proximity to the Arabian Sea maintains high humidity that caps daytime heating through evaporative cooling and cloud cover, while suppressed convection and steady southeasterly flow have kept recent daily highs near the 32°C August average. Updated regional forecasts show no major heat advection or rainfall disruption through the period, limiting upside risk above 34°C and downside below 30°C. New model runs and surface observations expected over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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