Recent southerly flows over New Zealand, drawing cooler Antarctic air, are positioning Wellington's maximum temperature for August 17 near 9–10°C according to MetService guidance, with a forecast high of 9°C amid scattered showers and easing winds. These conditions align with NIWA's seasonal outlook for near-average winter temperatures in the Wellington region, where historical August maxima average around 12°C but frequently dip lower under strong southerlies. Model consensus emphasizes minimal diurnal warming due to persistent onshore flow and cloud cover, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around single-digit Celsius values. Updated forecast runs and any shifts in wind strength ahead of the 24-hour window represent the key variables that could refine implied probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 17 août ?
10°C 56%
9°C 36%
11°C 4%
8°C 3%
$25,139 Vol.
$25,139 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
36%
10°C
56%
11°C
4%
12°C
2%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 56%
9°C 36%
11°C 4%
8°C 3%
$25,139 Vol.
$25,139 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
36%
10°C
56%
11°C
4%
12°C
2%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent southerly flows over New Zealand, drawing cooler Antarctic air, are positioning Wellington's maximum temperature for August 17 near 9–10°C according to MetService guidance, with a forecast high of 9°C amid scattered showers and easing winds. These conditions align with NIWA's seasonal outlook for near-average winter temperatures in the Wellington region, where historical August maxima average around 12°C but frequently dip lower under strong southerlies. Model consensus emphasizes minimal diurnal warming due to persistent onshore flow and cloud cover, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around single-digit Celsius values. Updated forecast runs and any shifts in wind strength ahead of the 24-hour window represent the key variables that could refine implied probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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