Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 28°C for August 16, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. With daytime highs near 33°C and persistent warm advection from the South China Sea, overnight lows rarely drop below 27–28°C in mid-August. This aligns with climatological baselines and the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 28°C reflects this robust model agreement and historical precedent, though a stronger-than-expected rain band or rare frontal passage could realistically push the minimum to 27°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 16 août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 16 août ?
28°C 99%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$25,706 Vol.
$25,706 Vol.
16 août 2026
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou plus
<1%
28°C 99%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$25,706 Vol.
$25,706 Vol.
16 août 2026
23°C ou moins
$1,017 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,624 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,877 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,346 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,719 Vol.
1%
28°C
$7,782 Vol.
99%
29°C
$3,114 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,440 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$642 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$605 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou plus
$540 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 28°C for August 16, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. With daytime highs near 33°C and persistent warm advection from the South China Sea, overnight lows rarely drop below 27–28°C in mid-August. This aligns with climatological baselines and the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 28°C reflects this robust model agreement and historical precedent, though a stronger-than-expected rain band or rare frontal passage could realistically push the minimum to 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$25,706Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 28°C for August 16, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. With daytime highs near 33°C and persistent warm advection from the South China Sea, overnight lows rarely drop below 27–28°C in mid-August. This aligns with climatological baselines and the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 28°C reflects this robust model agreement and historical precedent, though a stronger-than-expected rain band or rare frontal passage could realistically push the minimum to 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,706Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 28°C for August 16, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. With daytime highs near 33°C and persistent warm advection from the South China Sea, overnight lows rarely drop below 27–28°C in mid-August. This aligns with climatological baselines and the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 28°C reflects this robust model agreement and historical precedent, though a stronger-than-expected rain band or rare frontal passage could realistically push the minimum to 27°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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