Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show building high pressure and southerly winds driving maximum temperatures in London toward 32–33°C on August 14, with those outcomes holding the highest market-implied probabilities. Model consensus points to mostly clear skies and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, though small differences in ridge strength, wind direction shifts, or timing of any residual moisture create the narrow spread across 31–34°C bins. Official guidance emphasizes above-average warmth for southern England amid this late-summer pattern, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at London City Airport. Updated short-range runs expected within the next 24 hours will further narrow uncertainty ahead of the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 14 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 14 août ?
33°C 36%
32°C 35%
31°C 16%
34°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
29°C or below
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
16%
32°C
35%
33°C
36%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 36%
32°C 35%
31°C 16%
34°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
29°C or below
$170 Vol.
4%
30°C
$39 Vol.
8%
31°C
$0 Vol.
16%
32°C
$369 Vol.
35%
33°C
$26 Vol.
36%
34°C
$1 Vol.
11%
35°C
$1 Vol.
3%
36°C
$17 Vol.
1%
37°C
$12 Vol.
1%
38°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show building high pressure and southerly winds driving maximum temperatures in London toward 32–33°C on August 14, with those outcomes holding the highest market-implied probabilities. Model consensus points to mostly clear skies and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, though small differences in ridge strength, wind direction shifts, or timing of any residual moisture create the narrow spread across 31–34°C bins. Official guidance emphasizes above-average warmth for southern England amid this late-summer pattern, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at London City Airport. Updated short-range runs expected within the next 24 hours will further narrow uncertainty ahead of the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$658Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show building high pressure and southerly winds driving maximum temperatures in London toward 32–33°C on August 14, with those outcomes holding the highest market-implied probabilities. Model consensus points to mostly clear skies and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, though small differences in ridge strength, wind direction shifts, or timing of any residual moisture create the narrow spread across 31–34°C bins. Official guidance emphasizes above-average warmth for southern England amid this late-summer pattern, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at London City Airport. Updated short-range runs expected within the next 24 hours will further narrow uncertainty ahead of the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$658Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show building high pressure and southerly winds driving maximum temperatures in London toward 32–33°C on August 14, with those outcomes holding the highest market-implied probabilities. Model consensus points to mostly clear skies and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, though small differences in ridge strength, wind direction shifts, or timing of any residual moisture create the narrow spread across 31–34°C bins. Official guidance emphasizes above-average warmth for southern England amid this late-summer pattern, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at London City Airport. Updated short-range runs expected within the next 24 hours will further narrow uncertainty ahead of the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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