Tokyo's typical mid-August overnight lows average near 24°C per Japan Meteorological Agency climatology, with recent extended-range guidance from AccuWeather and other models clustering minimums between 23–25°C amid persistent Pacific high pressure and elevated humidity. A developing typhoon (Chan-hom) tracking toward the Kanto region around the Obon period introduces the main near-term uncertainty, potentially enhancing cloud cover, rainfall, and modest cooling that could nudge the low toward 23°C while still keeping it above 22°C. These factors underpin the market's concentration on 23–25°C outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and typhoon track updates that will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 14 août ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 14 août ?
24°C 47%
23°C 27%
25°C 18%
22°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
19°C ou moins
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
8%
23°C
27%
24°C
47%
25°C
18%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 47%
23°C 27%
25°C 18%
22°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
19°C ou moins
$33 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$33 Vol.
2%
21°C
$20 Vol.
5%
22°C
$20 Vol.
8%
23°C
$51 Vol.
27%
24°C
$91 Vol.
47%
25°C
$0 Vol.
18%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$33 Vol.
1%
28°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou plus
$27 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's typical mid-August overnight lows average near 24°C per Japan Meteorological Agency climatology, with recent extended-range guidance from AccuWeather and other models clustering minimums between 23–25°C amid persistent Pacific high pressure and elevated humidity. A developing typhoon (Chan-hom) tracking toward the Kanto region around the Obon period introduces the main near-term uncertainty, potentially enhancing cloud cover, rainfall, and modest cooling that could nudge the low toward 23°C while still keeping it above 22°C. These factors underpin the market's concentration on 23–25°C outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and typhoon track updates that will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$341Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's typical mid-August overnight lows average near 24°C per Japan Meteorological Agency climatology, with recent extended-range guidance from AccuWeather and other models clustering minimums between 23–25°C amid persistent Pacific high pressure and elevated humidity. A developing typhoon (Chan-hom) tracking toward the Kanto region around the Obon period introduces the main near-term uncertainty, potentially enhancing cloud cover, rainfall, and modest cooling that could nudge the low toward 23°C while still keeping it above 22°C. These factors underpin the market's concentration on 23–25°C outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and typhoon track updates that will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$341Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tokyo's typical mid-August overnight lows average near 24°C per Japan Meteorological Agency climatology, with recent extended-range guidance from AccuWeather and other models clustering minimums between 23–25°C amid persistent Pacific high pressure and elevated humidity. A developing typhoon (Chan-hom) tracking toward the Kanto region around the Obon period introduces the main near-term uncertainty, potentially enhancing cloud cover, rainfall, and modest cooling that could nudge the low toward 23°C while still keeping it above 22°C. These factors underpin the market's concentration on 23–25°C outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and typhoon track updates that will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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