Strong market consensus at 22°C reflects the latest Met Office observational data and forecast model runs showing London locked in a stable warm air mass during the ongoing heatwave, with urban heat island effects and light winds limiting overnight radiative cooling to produce a minimum near that threshold. High daytime maxima near 34°C have transitioned into mild evening conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover changes that would accelerate temperature drops. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates minimal variability in the final hours, aligning trader sentiment with verified measurements over model projections. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast thundery activity could still shift the recorded low, though current atmospheric patterns make such developments unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 14 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 14 août ?
22°C 100.0%
16°C ou moins <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$27,771 Vol.
$27,771 Vol.
14 août 2026
16°C ou moins
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Oui
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C ou plus
Non
22°C 100.0%
16°C ou moins <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$27,771 Vol.
$27,771 Vol.
14 août 2026
16°C ou moins
$1,387 Vol.
Non
17°C
$525 Vol.
Non
18°C
$10,917 Vol.
Non
19°C
$1,486 Vol.
Non
20°C
$794 Vol.
Non
21°C
$2,205 Vol.
Non
22°C
$6,962 Vol.
Oui
23°C
$2,045 Vol.
Non
24°C
$675 Vol.
Non
25°C
$459 Vol.
Non
26°C ou plus
$316 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong market consensus at 22°C reflects the latest Met Office observational data and forecast model runs showing London locked in a stable warm air mass during the ongoing heatwave, with urban heat island effects and light winds limiting overnight radiative cooling to produce a minimum near that threshold. High daytime maxima near 34°C have transitioned into mild evening conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover changes that would accelerate temperature drops. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates minimal variability in the final hours, aligning trader sentiment with verified measurements over model projections. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast thundery activity could still shift the recorded low, though current atmospheric patterns make such developments unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Volume
$27,771Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong market consensus at 22°C reflects the latest Met Office observational data and forecast model runs showing London locked in a stable warm air mass during the ongoing heatwave, with urban heat island effects and light winds limiting overnight radiative cooling to produce a minimum near that threshold. High daytime maxima near 34°C have transitioned into mild evening conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover changes that would accelerate temperature drops. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates minimal variability in the final hours, aligning trader sentiment with verified measurements over model projections. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast thundery activity could still shift the recorded low, though current atmospheric patterns make such developments unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,771Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Strong market consensus at 22°C reflects the latest Met Office observational data and forecast model runs showing London locked in a stable warm air mass during the ongoing heatwave, with urban heat island effects and light winds limiting overnight radiative cooling to produce a minimum near that threshold. High daytime maxima near 34°C have transitioned into mild evening conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover changes that would accelerate temperature drops. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates minimal variability in the final hours, aligning trader sentiment with verified measurements over model projections. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast thundery activity could still shift the recorded low, though current atmospheric patterns make such developments unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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