Recent forecast model runs and Met Office guidance point to a mild overnight period on August 18, with the lowest temperature most likely falling between 17–19 °C. Light rain or passing showers expected that evening will increase cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling and keeping the boundary layer warmer than under clear skies. A westerly flow advecting milder Atlantic air further supports these elevated minimums, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 18 °C (41.5 %) and 19 °C (22.5 %). Updated guidance later today could refine wind speeds and cloud timing, potentially shifting probabilities if clearer conditions allow greater overnight cooling toward the 17 °C or 16 °C bands.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 18 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 18 août ?
18°C 37%
17°C 22%
19°C 13%
16°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
14°C ou moins
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
5%
17°C
22%
18°C
37%
19°C
13%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24 °C ou plus
1%
18°C 37%
17°C 22%
19°C 13%
16°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
14°C ou moins
$21 Vol.
3%
15°C
$11 Vol.
4%
16°C
$93 Vol.
5%
17°C
$362 Vol.
22%
18°C
$559 Vol.
37%
19°C
$788 Vol.
13%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$93 Vol.
1%
22°C
$10 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24 °C ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs and Met Office guidance point to a mild overnight period on August 18, with the lowest temperature most likely falling between 17–19 °C. Light rain or passing showers expected that evening will increase cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling and keeping the boundary layer warmer than under clear skies. A westerly flow advecting milder Atlantic air further supports these elevated minimums, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 18 °C (41.5 %) and 19 °C (22.5 %). Updated guidance later today could refine wind speeds and cloud timing, potentially shifting probabilities if clearer conditions allow greater overnight cooling toward the 17 °C or 16 °C bands.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,937Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs and Met Office guidance point to a mild overnight period on August 18, with the lowest temperature most likely falling between 17–19 °C. Light rain or passing showers expected that evening will increase cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling and keeping the boundary layer warmer than under clear skies. A westerly flow advecting milder Atlantic air further supports these elevated minimums, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 18 °C (41.5 %) and 19 °C (22.5 %). Updated guidance later today could refine wind speeds and cloud timing, potentially shifting probabilities if clearer conditions allow greater overnight cooling toward the 17 °C or 16 °C bands.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,937Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs and Met Office guidance point to a mild overnight period on August 18, with the lowest temperature most likely falling between 17–19 °C. Light rain or passing showers expected that evening will increase cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling and keeping the boundary layer warmer than under clear skies. A westerly flow advecting milder Atlantic air further supports these elevated minimums, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 18 °C (41.5 %) and 19 °C (22.5 %). Updated guidance later today could refine wind speeds and cloud timing, potentially shifting probabilities if clearer conditions allow greater overnight cooling toward the 17 °C or 16 °C bands.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes