Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high-pressure ridge supporting partly sunny conditions and light winds over the Northeast on August 12, favoring afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 80s at Central Park. Subtle differences among the leading 86–89 °F bins reflect uncertainty in sea-breeze onset timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any late-day convective debris that could cap peak temperatures by 1–2 °F. Historical August climatology (83 °F average high) provides context, yet recent warmer-than-normal monthly outlooks reinforce trader emphasis on the upper end of the distribution while acknowledging short-term forecast spread inherent to mesoscale influences.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 12 août ?
La température la plus élevée à New York le 12 août ?
86-87°F 36%
88-89°F 31%
84-85°F 28%
90-91°F 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 36%
88-89°F 31%
84-85°F 28%
90-91°F 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
79°F or below
$15 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$22 Vol.
19%
86-87°F
$23 Vol.
36%
88-89°F
$13 Vol.
31%
90-91°F
$7 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$49 Vol.
5%
94-95°F
$20 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$12 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high-pressure ridge supporting partly sunny conditions and light winds over the Northeast on August 12, favoring afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 80s at Central Park. Subtle differences among the leading 86–89 °F bins reflect uncertainty in sea-breeze onset timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any late-day convective debris that could cap peak temperatures by 1–2 °F. Historical August climatology (83 °F average high) provides context, yet recent warmer-than-normal monthly outlooks reinforce trader emphasis on the upper end of the distribution while acknowledging short-term forecast spread inherent to mesoscale influences.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$177Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high-pressure ridge supporting partly sunny conditions and light winds over the Northeast on August 12, favoring afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 80s at Central Park. Subtle differences among the leading 86–89 °F bins reflect uncertainty in sea-breeze onset timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any late-day convective debris that could cap peak temperatures by 1–2 °F. Historical August climatology (83 °F average high) provides context, yet recent warmer-than-normal monthly outlooks reinforce trader emphasis on the upper end of the distribution while acknowledging short-term forecast spread inherent to mesoscale influences.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$177Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high-pressure ridge supporting partly sunny conditions and light winds over the Northeast on August 12, favoring afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 80s at Central Park. Subtle differences among the leading 86–89 °F bins reflect uncertainty in sea-breeze onset timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any late-day convective debris that could cap peak temperatures by 1–2 °F. Historical August climatology (83 °F average high) provides context, yet recent warmer-than-normal monthly outlooks reinforce trader emphasis on the upper end of the distribution while acknowledging short-term forecast spread inherent to mesoscale influences.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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