Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to overnight lows near 81°F for Miami on August 12, driven by persistently warm Atlantic and Gulf waters, high boundary-layer humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under the subtropical ridge. These conditions produce the narrow 80–83°F clustering seen in market-implied odds, with the 80–81°F bin edging ahead due to slight model consensus on modest cloud cover reducing heat retention. Historical August climatology shows average lows of 78–79°F, yet recent observations and seasonal sea-surface temperature anomalies have kept readings elevated; any increase in easterly flow or clearer skies could allow the 78–79°F range to gain ground before official Miami International Airport observations finalize resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Miami le 12 août ?
La température la plus basse à Miami le 12 août ?
80-81°F 41%
82-83 °F 31%
78-79 °F 21%
76-77°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
71°F ou moins
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79 °F
21%
80-81°F
41%
82-83 °F
31%
84-85 °F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F ou plus
<1%
80-81°F 41%
82-83 °F 31%
78-79 °F 21%
76-77°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
71°F ou moins
$8 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$44 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$77 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$38 Vol.
5%
78-79 °F
$19 Vol.
21%
80-81°F
$59 Vol.
41%
82-83 °F
$109 Vol.
31%
84-85 °F
$19 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$300 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$8 Vol.
1%
90°F ou plus
$8 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to overnight lows near 81°F for Miami on August 12, driven by persistently warm Atlantic and Gulf waters, high boundary-layer humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under the subtropical ridge. These conditions produce the narrow 80–83°F clustering seen in market-implied odds, with the 80–81°F bin edging ahead due to slight model consensus on modest cloud cover reducing heat retention. Historical August climatology shows average lows of 78–79°F, yet recent observations and seasonal sea-surface temperature anomalies have kept readings elevated; any increase in easterly flow or clearer skies could allow the 78–79°F range to gain ground before official Miami International Airport observations finalize resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$688Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to overnight lows near 81°F for Miami on August 12, driven by persistently warm Atlantic and Gulf waters, high boundary-layer humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under the subtropical ridge. These conditions produce the narrow 80–83°F clustering seen in market-implied odds, with the 80–81°F bin edging ahead due to slight model consensus on modest cloud cover reducing heat retention. Historical August climatology shows average lows of 78–79°F, yet recent observations and seasonal sea-surface temperature anomalies have kept readings elevated; any increase in easterly flow or clearer skies could allow the 78–79°F range to gain ground before official Miami International Airport observations finalize resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$688Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to overnight lows near 81°F for Miami on August 12, driven by persistently warm Atlantic and Gulf waters, high boundary-layer humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under the subtropical ridge. These conditions produce the narrow 80–83°F clustering seen in market-implied odds, with the 80–81°F bin edging ahead due to slight model consensus on modest cloud cover reducing heat retention. Historical August climatology shows average lows of 78–79°F, yet recent observations and seasonal sea-surface temperature anomalies have kept readings elevated; any increase in easterly flow or clearer skies could allow the 78–79°F range to gain ground before official Miami International Airport observations finalize resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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