Current forecasts from NOAA and the National Weather Service point to an overnight low in the low to mid-70s for New York City on August 12, reflecting persistent warmth from a warmer-than-average August pattern and limited radiative cooling under humid, partly cloudy conditions. The near-even split between 72–73°F (42.5%) and 74–75°F (36%) stems from model differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island retention, and any late-night wind shifts or thin cloud cover that could trim or sustain temperatures by a degree or two. Historical August Central Park lows average near 68–70°F, so the elevated baseline this year narrows the range and heightens sensitivity to small forecast revisions ahead of the midnight-to-dawn minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 12 août ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 12 août ?
72-73°F 43%
74-75°F 35%
70-71°F 13%
76-77°F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
63°F ou moins
<1%
64-65 °F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
43%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
7%
78-79 °F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F ou plus
<1%
72-73°F 43%
74-75°F 35%
70-71°F 13%
76-77°F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
63°F ou moins
$422 Vol.
<1%
64-65 °F
$22 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$516 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$177 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$349 Vol.
13%
72-73°F
$581 Vol.
43%
74-75°F
$836 Vol.
35%
76-77°F
$21 Vol.
7%
78-79 °F
$654 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$999 Vol.
<1%
82°F ou plus
$295 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and the National Weather Service point to an overnight low in the low to mid-70s for New York City on August 12, reflecting persistent warmth from a warmer-than-average August pattern and limited radiative cooling under humid, partly cloudy conditions. The near-even split between 72–73°F (42.5%) and 74–75°F (36%) stems from model differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island retention, and any late-night wind shifts or thin cloud cover that could trim or sustain temperatures by a degree or two. Historical August Central Park lows average near 68–70°F, so the elevated baseline this year narrows the range and heightens sensitivity to small forecast revisions ahead of the midnight-to-dawn minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$4,873Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and the National Weather Service point to an overnight low in the low to mid-70s for New York City on August 12, reflecting persistent warmth from a warmer-than-average August pattern and limited radiative cooling under humid, partly cloudy conditions. The near-even split between 72–73°F (42.5%) and 74–75°F (36%) stems from model differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island retention, and any late-night wind shifts or thin cloud cover that could trim or sustain temperatures by a degree or two. Historical August Central Park lows average near 68–70°F, so the elevated baseline this year narrows the range and heightens sensitivity to small forecast revisions ahead of the midnight-to-dawn minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,873Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NOAA and the National Weather Service point to an overnight low in the low to mid-70s for New York City on August 12, reflecting persistent warmth from a warmer-than-average August pattern and limited radiative cooling under humid, partly cloudy conditions. The near-even split between 72–73°F (42.5%) and 74–75°F (36%) stems from model differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island retention, and any late-night wind shifts or thin cloud cover that could trim or sustain temperatures by a degree or two. Historical August Central Park lows average near 68–70°F, so the elevated baseline this year narrows the range and heightens sensitivity to small forecast revisions ahead of the midnight-to-dawn minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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