Current ensemble forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models place Chengdu's August 14 high near 36–37°C under the persistent Western Pacific Subtropical High, which promotes clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud development, and subtle steering influences that could cap or enhance surface temperatures by 1°C. Historical August climatology supports highs in this range, with recent days showing similar conditions under the same ridge. The tightly bunched market probabilities around 36°C (36.5%) and 37°C (30.5%) reflect this forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 14 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 14 août ?
36°C 37%
37°C 31%
35°C 17%
34°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
30°C ou moins
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
7%
35°C
17%
36°C
37%
37°C
31%
38°C
7%
39°C
2%
40°C ou plus
<1%
36°C 37%
37°C 31%
35°C 17%
34°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
30°C ou moins
$295 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$209 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$188 Vol.
3%
34°C
$309 Vol.
7%
35°C
$243 Vol.
17%
36°C
$835 Vol.
37%
37°C
$2,957 Vol.
31%
38°C
$981 Vol.
7%
39°C
$1,029 Vol.
2%
40°C ou plus
$657 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models place Chengdu's August 14 high near 36–37°C under the persistent Western Pacific Subtropical High, which promotes clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud development, and subtle steering influences that could cap or enhance surface temperatures by 1°C. Historical August climatology supports highs in this range, with recent days showing similar conditions under the same ridge. The tightly bunched market probabilities around 36°C (36.5%) and 37°C (30.5%) reflect this forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,913Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models place Chengdu's August 14 high near 36–37°C under the persistent Western Pacific Subtropical High, which promotes clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud development, and subtle steering influences that could cap or enhance surface temperatures by 1°C. Historical August climatology supports highs in this range, with recent days showing similar conditions under the same ridge. The tightly bunched market probabilities around 36°C (36.5%) and 37°C (30.5%) reflect this forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,913Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models place Chengdu's August 14 high near 36–37°C under the persistent Western Pacific Subtropical High, which promotes clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud development, and subtle steering influences that could cap or enhance surface temperatures by 1°C. Historical August climatology supports highs in this range, with recent days showing similar conditions under the same ridge. The tightly bunched market probabilities around 36°C (36.5%) and 37°C (30.5%) reflect this forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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