Current forecasts for Istanbul on August 15 point to a maximum near 26–28 °C, aligning with the market’s strong consensus around 26 °C. Late-summer conditions, including moderate northerly flow, Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes, and partial cloud cover, typically suppress peak heating and keep extremes unlikely. Recent model guidance from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows subtle cooling tied to boundary-layer moisture and onshore timing, shifting implied probabilities toward the lower end of the seasonal 27–29 °C climatological range. With resolution imminent, updated short-range runs and any late adjustments in onshore flow will be the key variables for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 15 août ?
26°C 59%
25°C 22%
27°C 16%
24°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
22%
26°C
59%
27°C
16%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 59%
25°C 22%
27°C 16%
24°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
22°C or below
$97 Vol.
1%
23°C
$123 Vol.
2%
24°C
$225 Vol.
4%
25°C
$136 Vol.
22%
26°C
$767 Vol.
59%
27°C
$70 Vol.
16%
28°C
$360 Vol.
4%
29°C
$152 Vol.
1%
30°C
$12 Vol.
2%
31°C
$12 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Istanbul on August 15 point to a maximum near 26–28 °C, aligning with the market’s strong consensus around 26 °C. Late-summer conditions, including moderate northerly flow, Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes, and partial cloud cover, typically suppress peak heating and keep extremes unlikely. Recent model guidance from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows subtle cooling tied to boundary-layer moisture and onshore timing, shifting implied probabilities toward the lower end of the seasonal 27–29 °C climatological range. With resolution imminent, updated short-range runs and any late adjustments in onshore flow will be the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,069Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Istanbul on August 15 point to a maximum near 26–28 °C, aligning with the market’s strong consensus around 26 °C. Late-summer conditions, including moderate northerly flow, Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes, and partial cloud cover, typically suppress peak heating and keep extremes unlikely. Recent model guidance from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows subtle cooling tied to boundary-layer moisture and onshore timing, shifting implied probabilities toward the lower end of the seasonal 27–29 °C climatological range. With resolution imminent, updated short-range runs and any late adjustments in onshore flow will be the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,069Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Istanbul on August 15 point to a maximum near 26–28 °C, aligning with the market’s strong consensus around 26 °C. Late-summer conditions, including moderate northerly flow, Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes, and partial cloud cover, typically suppress peak heating and keep extremes unlikely. Recent model guidance from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows subtle cooling tied to boundary-layer moisture and onshore timing, shifting implied probabilities toward the lower end of the seasonal 27–29 °C climatological range. With resolution imminent, updated short-range runs and any late adjustments in onshore flow will be the key variables for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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