Recent PAGASA forecasts and model guidance point to a 30–32°C daily maximum for Manila on August 13 amid the active southwest monsoon, or habagat, which has produced widespread cloud cover and heavy rainfall across Luzon since early August. Persistent monsoon flow typically limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, keeping peak temperatures near or slightly below the long-term August average of 31°C while raising the odds of 29–31°C readings. Current 5-day outlooks show 60–100% rain probability and highs of 30–32°C, aligning with trader consensus around those values. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon intensity or steering patterns over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could push outcomes toward 28°C or 32°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Manille le 13 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Manille le 13 août ?
30°C 41%
31°C 26%
29°C 25%
28°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
25%
30°C
41%
31°C
26%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
30°C 41%
31°C 26%
29°C 25%
28°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
25°C ou moins
$33 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$98 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$46 Vol.
1%
28°C
$144 Vol.
5%
29°C
$59 Vol.
25%
30°C
$129 Vol.
41%
31°C
$52 Vol.
26%
32°C
$268 Vol.
5%
33°C
$583 Vol.
2%
34°C
$90 Vol.
1%
35°C ou plus
$126 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts and model guidance point to a 30–32°C daily maximum for Manila on August 13 amid the active southwest monsoon, or habagat, which has produced widespread cloud cover and heavy rainfall across Luzon since early August. Persistent monsoon flow typically limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, keeping peak temperatures near or slightly below the long-term August average of 31°C while raising the odds of 29–31°C readings. Current 5-day outlooks show 60–100% rain probability and highs of 30–32°C, aligning with trader consensus around those values. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon intensity or steering patterns over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could push outcomes toward 28°C or 32°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,628Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts and model guidance point to a 30–32°C daily maximum for Manila on August 13 amid the active southwest monsoon, or habagat, which has produced widespread cloud cover and heavy rainfall across Luzon since early August. Persistent monsoon flow typically limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, keeping peak temperatures near or slightly below the long-term August average of 31°C while raising the odds of 29–31°C readings. Current 5-day outlooks show 60–100% rain probability and highs of 30–32°C, aligning with trader consensus around those values. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon intensity or steering patterns over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could push outcomes toward 28°C or 32°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,628Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts and model guidance point to a 30–32°C daily maximum for Manila on August 13 amid the active southwest monsoon, or habagat, which has produced widespread cloud cover and heavy rainfall across Luzon since early August. Persistent monsoon flow typically limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, keeping peak temperatures near or slightly below the long-term August average of 31°C while raising the odds of 29–31°C readings. Current 5-day outlooks show 60–100% rain probability and highs of 30–32°C, aligning with trader consensus around those values. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon intensity or steering patterns over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could push outcomes toward 28°C or 32°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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