Recent forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and regional guidance positions Istanbul's August 16 daily maximum near 26–27°C, driving the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for 26°C and 26.5% for 27°C. Mid-August climatology typically features highs averaging 28°C under stable high-pressure patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited cloud cover, though current runs indicate slightly cooler conditions from increased cloudiness and reduced insolation. Official observations will resolve the market based on the highest recorded temperature at primary stations, with low odds for extremes above 28°C or below 25°C reflecting tight model agreement and minimal deviation expected in the final 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 16 août ?
26°C 46%
27°C 27%
25°C 18%
24°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
46%
27°C
27%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 46%
27°C 27%
25°C 18%
24°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
22°C or below
$293 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$126 Vol.
2%
24°C
$3 Vol.
5%
25°C
$54 Vol.
18%
26°C
$594 Vol.
46%
27°C
$152 Vol.
27%
28°C
$87 Vol.
5%
29°C
$76 Vol.
2%
30°C
$140 Vol.
3%
31°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$15 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and regional guidance positions Istanbul's August 16 daily maximum near 26–27°C, driving the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for 26°C and 26.5% for 27°C. Mid-August climatology typically features highs averaging 28°C under stable high-pressure patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited cloud cover, though current runs indicate slightly cooler conditions from increased cloudiness and reduced insolation. Official observations will resolve the market based on the highest recorded temperature at primary stations, with low odds for extremes above 28°C or below 25°C reflecting tight model agreement and minimal deviation expected in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,810Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and regional guidance positions Istanbul's August 16 daily maximum near 26–27°C, driving the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for 26°C and 26.5% for 27°C. Mid-August climatology typically features highs averaging 28°C under stable high-pressure patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited cloud cover, though current runs indicate slightly cooler conditions from increased cloudiness and reduced insolation. Official observations will resolve the market based on the highest recorded temperature at primary stations, with low odds for extremes above 28°C or below 25°C reflecting tight model agreement and minimal deviation expected in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,810Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and regional guidance positions Istanbul's August 16 daily maximum near 26–27°C, driving the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for 26°C and 26.5% for 27°C. Mid-August climatology typically features highs averaging 28°C under stable high-pressure patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited cloud cover, though current runs indicate slightly cooler conditions from increased cloudiness and reduced insolation. Official observations will resolve the market based on the highest recorded temperature at primary stations, with low odds for extremes above 28°C or below 25°C reflecting tight model agreement and minimal deviation expected in the final 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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