Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for New York City on August 15, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature near 68–69°F under mostly clear skies following a seasonable high around 82–84°F, consistent with typical late-summer climatology where average lows hover near 69°F. Trader positioning, with the strongest implied probability on 70–71°F, reflects expectations that urban heat retention or slight model warming trends could push the overnight minimum higher than baseline guidance. A broader August outlook favoring above-average temperatures provides supporting context without overriding the day-specific steering patterns and light winds that favor radiative cooling. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine resolution criteria tied to the designated station reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 15 août ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 15 août ?
70-71°F 51%
68-69°F 24%
72-73 °F 12%
64-65°F 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
57°F ou moins
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
51%
72-73 °F
24%
74-75 °F
3%
76°F ou plus
<1%
70-71°F 51%
68-69°F 24%
72-73 °F 12%
64-65°F 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
57°F ou moins
$300 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$281 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$653 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$425 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$419 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$201 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$409 Vol.
18%
70-71°F
$492 Vol.
51%
72-73 °F
$495 Vol.
24%
74-75 °F
$704 Vol.
3%
76°F ou plus
$891 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for New York City on August 15, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature near 68–69°F under mostly clear skies following a seasonable high around 82–84°F, consistent with typical late-summer climatology where average lows hover near 69°F. Trader positioning, with the strongest implied probability on 70–71°F, reflects expectations that urban heat retention or slight model warming trends could push the overnight minimum higher than baseline guidance. A broader August outlook favoring above-average temperatures provides supporting context without overriding the day-specific steering patterns and light winds that favor radiative cooling. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine resolution criteria tied to the designated station reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$5,270Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for New York City on August 15, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature near 68–69°F under mostly clear skies following a seasonable high around 82–84°F, consistent with typical late-summer climatology where average lows hover near 69°F. Trader positioning, with the strongest implied probability on 70–71°F, reflects expectations that urban heat retention or slight model warming trends could push the overnight minimum higher than baseline guidance. A broader August outlook favoring above-average temperatures provides supporting context without overriding the day-specific steering patterns and light winds that favor radiative cooling. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine resolution criteria tied to the designated station reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,270Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for New York City on August 15, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature near 68–69°F under mostly clear skies following a seasonable high around 82–84°F, consistent with typical late-summer climatology where average lows hover near 69°F. Trader positioning, with the strongest implied probability on 70–71°F, reflects expectations that urban heat retention or slight model warming trends could push the overnight minimum higher than baseline guidance. A broader August outlook favoring above-average temperatures provides supporting context without overriding the day-specific steering patterns and light winds that favor radiative cooling. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine resolution criteria tied to the designated station reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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