Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami indicates daytime highs near 90–93 °F on August 14 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with subtropical August climatology where the long-term average high is 89 °F and values rarely exceed 92 °F. Persistent onshore flow, high dew points, and typical sea-breeze convection are limiting extreme heating, while the absence of strong subsidence or anomalous ridging keeps the distribution centered on the 92–93 °F bin. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow forecast envelope and the short time horizon before official Miami International Airport observations are recorded. Updated model runs and any changes in steering flow or moisture will be the next key inputs for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 14 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Miami le 14 août ?
92-93°F 63%
94-95°F 21%
90-91°F 15%
96-97°F 2.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
63%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 63%
94-95°F 21%
90-91°F 15%
96-97°F 2.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
83°F or below
$284 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$492 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$91 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$107 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$1,387 Vol.
15%
92-93°F
$887 Vol.
63%
94-95°F
$363 Vol.
21%
96-97°F
$76 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$54 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$126 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$272 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami indicates daytime highs near 90–93 °F on August 14 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with subtropical August climatology where the long-term average high is 89 °F and values rarely exceed 92 °F. Persistent onshore flow, high dew points, and typical sea-breeze convection are limiting extreme heating, while the absence of strong subsidence or anomalous ridging keeps the distribution centered on the 92–93 °F bin. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow forecast envelope and the short time horizon before official Miami International Airport observations are recorded. Updated model runs and any changes in steering flow or moisture will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$4,139Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami indicates daytime highs near 90–93 °F on August 14 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with subtropical August climatology where the long-term average high is 89 °F and values rarely exceed 92 °F. Persistent onshore flow, high dew points, and typical sea-breeze convection are limiting extreme heating, while the absence of strong subsidence or anomalous ridging keeps the distribution centered on the 92–93 °F bin. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow forecast envelope and the short time horizon before official Miami International Airport observations are recorded. Updated model runs and any changes in steering flow or moisture will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,139Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami indicates daytime highs near 90–93 °F on August 14 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with subtropical August climatology where the long-term average high is 89 °F and values rarely exceed 92 °F. Persistent onshore flow, high dew points, and typical sea-breeze convection are limiting extreme heating, while the absence of strong subsidence or anomalous ridging keeps the distribution centered on the 92–93 °F bin. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow forecast envelope and the short time horizon before official Miami International Airport observations are recorded. Updated model runs and any changes in steering flow or moisture will be the next key inputs for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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