Recent forecasts from the BBC, China Meteorological Administration, and other models converge on a daytime high of 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 14, driven by northeasterly flow, Yellow Sea maritime moderation, and lingering cloud cover or light showers that curb daytime heating after early-August heat. These conditions align with the market’s clustering of implied probability on 30°C (39.5%) and 31°C (26.5%), while historical August averages near 30°C provide a baseline. Short-term numerical weather prediction updates and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key variables that could adjust probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 14 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 14 août ?
30°C 40%
31°C 27%
29°C 21%
32°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
26°C ou moins
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
21%
30°C
40%
31°C
27%
32°C
9%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 27%
29°C 21%
32°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
26°C ou moins
$196 Vol.
1%
27°C
$570 Vol.
2%
28°C
$566 Vol.
6%
29°C
$169 Vol.
21%
30°C
$801 Vol.
40%
31°C
$154 Vol.
27%
32°C
$618 Vol.
9%
33°C
$130 Vol.
3%
34°C
$128 Vol.
1%
35°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou plus
$235 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the BBC, China Meteorological Administration, and other models converge on a daytime high of 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 14, driven by northeasterly flow, Yellow Sea maritime moderation, and lingering cloud cover or light showers that curb daytime heating after early-August heat. These conditions align with the market’s clustering of implied probability on 30°C (39.5%) and 31°C (26.5%), while historical August averages near 30°C provide a baseline. Short-term numerical weather prediction updates and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key variables that could adjust probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,753Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the BBC, China Meteorological Administration, and other models converge on a daytime high of 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 14, driven by northeasterly flow, Yellow Sea maritime moderation, and lingering cloud cover or light showers that curb daytime heating after early-August heat. These conditions align with the market’s clustering of implied probability on 30°C (39.5%) and 31°C (26.5%), while historical August averages near 30°C provide a baseline. Short-term numerical weather prediction updates and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key variables that could adjust probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,753Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the BBC, China Meteorological Administration, and other models converge on a daytime high of 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 14, driven by northeasterly flow, Yellow Sea maritime moderation, and lingering cloud cover or light showers that curb daytime heating after early-August heat. These conditions align with the market’s clustering of implied probability on 30°C (39.5%) and 31°C (26.5%), while historical August averages near 30°C provide a baseline. Short-term numerical weather prediction updates and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key variables that could adjust probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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