Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a cooler air mass and light rain arriving in Warsaw on August 17, capping daytime highs near 22–23°C after hotter conditions the prior day. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which traders have priced into tight probabilities favoring 22°C or 23°C. These outcomes align closely with long-term August climatology for the region, where average maxima reach about 23°C at Chopin Airport. Resolution hinges on the official peak reading there, with any earlier or more intense showers potentially suppressing the high by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 17 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 17 août ?
23°C 33%
22°C 31%
24°C 21%
25°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
20°C or below
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
31%
23°C
33%
24°C
21%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 33%
22°C 31%
24°C 21%
25°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
20°C or below
$1,115 Vol.
5%
21°C
$343 Vol.
6%
22°C
$1,181 Vol.
31%
23°C
$202 Vol.
33%
24°C
$126 Vol.
21%
25°C
$664 Vol.
8%
26°C
$41 Vol.
1%
27°C
$219 Vol.
1%
28°C
$628 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$206 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a cooler air mass and light rain arriving in Warsaw on August 17, capping daytime highs near 22–23°C after hotter conditions the prior day. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which traders have priced into tight probabilities favoring 22°C or 23°C. These outcomes align closely with long-term August climatology for the region, where average maxima reach about 23°C at Chopin Airport. Resolution hinges on the official peak reading there, with any earlier or more intense showers potentially suppressing the high by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Volume
$4,752Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a cooler air mass and light rain arriving in Warsaw on August 17, capping daytime highs near 22–23°C after hotter conditions the prior day. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which traders have priced into tight probabilities favoring 22°C or 23°C. These outcomes align closely with long-term August climatology for the region, where average maxima reach about 23°C at Chopin Airport. Resolution hinges on the official peak reading there, with any earlier or more intense showers potentially suppressing the high by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,752Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a cooler air mass and light rain arriving in Warsaw on August 17, capping daytime highs near 22–23°C after hotter conditions the prior day. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which traders have priced into tight probabilities favoring 22°C or 23°C. These outcomes align closely with long-term August climatology for the region, where average maxima reach about 23°C at Chopin Airport. Resolution hinges on the official peak reading there, with any earlier or more intense showers potentially suppressing the high by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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