Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the National Weather Service of Mexico and international models points to a typical mid-August pattern over the Valley of Mexico, where high-altitude cooling and afternoon convection from the rainy season keep daytime maxima near 24–26 °C. Persistent moisture and cloud cover have limited radiative heating in recent days, yet a brief ridge of high pressure is expected to allow slightly warmer boundary-layer air tomorrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only low probabilities attached to extremes above 27 °C or below 24 °C given the stable steering flow and absence of strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 17 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 17 août ?
26°C 52%
25°C 22%
27°C 18%
24°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
21°C ou moins
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
22%
26°C
52%
27°C
18%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
1%
26°C 52%
25°C 22%
27°C 18%
24°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$12 Vol.
1%
22°C
$12 Vol.
1%
23°C
$58 Vol.
4%
24°C
$47 Vol.
10%
25°C
$12 Vol.
22%
26°C
$191 Vol.
52%
27°C
$71 Vol.
18%
28°C
$17 Vol.
3%
29°C
$9 Vol.
2%
30°C
$17 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the National Weather Service of Mexico and international models points to a typical mid-August pattern over the Valley of Mexico, where high-altitude cooling and afternoon convection from the rainy season keep daytime maxima near 24–26 °C. Persistent moisture and cloud cover have limited radiative heating in recent days, yet a brief ridge of high pressure is expected to allow slightly warmer boundary-layer air tomorrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only low probabilities attached to extremes above 27 °C or below 24 °C given the stable steering flow and absence of strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$425Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the National Weather Service of Mexico and international models points to a typical mid-August pattern over the Valley of Mexico, where high-altitude cooling and afternoon convection from the rainy season keep daytime maxima near 24–26 °C. Persistent moisture and cloud cover have limited radiative heating in recent days, yet a brief ridge of high pressure is expected to allow slightly warmer boundary-layer air tomorrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only low probabilities attached to extremes above 27 °C or below 24 °C given the stable steering flow and absence of strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$425Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the National Weather Service of Mexico and international models points to a typical mid-August pattern over the Valley of Mexico, where high-altitude cooling and afternoon convection from the rainy season keep daytime maxima near 24–26 °C. Persistent moisture and cloud cover have limited radiative heating in recent days, yet a brief ridge of high pressure is expected to allow slightly warmer boundary-layer air tomorrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only low probabilities attached to extremes above 27 °C or below 24 °C given the stable steering flow and absence of strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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