**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 15, 2026, centers on 26°C as the clear favorite at 60.5% implied probability, with 25°C at 19.5% and 27°C at 15.5%.** These outcomes align with current forecast model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and Ventusky, which project daily maxima of 24–27°C (75–81°F) under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with afternoon showers typical of the August rainy season. Mexico City’s high-altitude subtropical highland climate (roughly 2,240 meters elevation) produces mild daytime highs even in midsummer, with historical August averages near 24°C. Persistent moisture from tropical waves and the North American monsoon enhances cloud cover and convective rainfall, which often limits peak temperatures by reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show limited warming potential absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies, keeping extremes above 28°C or below 24°C at low single-digit probabilities. Updated forecasts through the morning of the 15th will be the next key catalyst for any probability shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 15 août ?
26°C 58%
25°C 21%
27°C 17%
24°C 3.5%
$7,761 Vol.
$7,761 Vol.
15 août 2026
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
21%
26°C
58%
27°C
17%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 58%
25°C 21%
27°C 17%
24°C 3.5%
$7,761 Vol.
$7,761 Vol.
15 août 2026
20°C ou moins
$508 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$245 Vol.
1%
23°C
$457 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,052 Vol.
4%
25°C
$560 Vol.
21%
26°C
$1,006 Vol.
58%
27°C
$2,502 Vol.
17%
28°C
$423 Vol.
4%
29°C
$302 Vol.
1%
30°C ou plus
$485 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 15, 2026, centers on 26°C as the clear favorite at 60.5% implied probability, with 25°C at 19.5% and 27°C at 15.5%.** These outcomes align with current forecast model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and Ventusky, which project daily maxima of 24–27°C (75–81°F) under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with afternoon showers typical of the August rainy season.
Mexico City’s high-altitude subtropical highland climate (roughly 2,240 meters elevation) produces mild daytime highs even in midsummer, with historical August averages near 24°C. Persistent moisture from tropical waves and the North American monsoon enhances cloud cover and convective rainfall, which often limits peak temperatures by reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show limited warming potential absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies, keeping extremes above 28°C or below 24°C at low single-digit probabilities. Updated forecasts through the morning of the 15th will be the next key catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$7,761Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 15, 2026, centers on 26°C as the clear favorite at 60.5% implied probability, with 25°C at 19.5% and 27°C at 15.5%.** These outcomes align with current forecast model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and Ventusky, which project daily maxima of 24–27°C (75–81°F) under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with afternoon showers typical of the August rainy season.
Mexico City’s high-altitude subtropical highland climate (roughly 2,240 meters elevation) produces mild daytime highs even in midsummer, with historical August averages near 24°C. Persistent moisture from tropical waves and the North American monsoon enhances cloud cover and convective rainfall, which often limits peak temperatures by reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show limited warming potential absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies, keeping extremes above 28°C or below 24°C at low single-digit probabilities. Updated forecasts through the morning of the 15th will be the next key catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,761Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 15, 2026, centers on 26°C as the clear favorite at 60.5% implied probability, with 25°C at 19.5% and 27°C at 15.5%.** These outcomes align with current forecast model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and Ventusky, which project daily maxima of 24–27°C (75–81°F) under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with afternoon showers typical of the August rainy season. Mexico City’s high-altitude subtropical highland climate (roughly 2,240 meters elevation) produces mild daytime highs even in midsummer, with historical August averages near 24°C. Persistent moisture from tropical waves and the North American monsoon enhances cloud cover and convective rainfall, which often limits peak temperatures by reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show limited warming potential absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies, keeping extremes above 28°C or below 24°C at low single-digit probabilities. Updated forecasts through the morning of the 15th will be the next key catalyst for any probability shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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