Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate mostly sunny skies and high pressure over southeast Texas through August 17, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 90s°F amid typical late-summer insolation and low precipitable water. Houston’s urban heat island and light southeasterly flow further favor peak readings near 96–97°F, aligning with the market’s leading 57.5% implied probability. Drier antecedent conditions have limited evaporative cooling, while climatological August averages hover near 93–95°F, providing a baseline traders are adjusting upward based on the current subsidence pattern. Model spread remains modest, with limited upside risk to 100°F or higher absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Houston le 17 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Houston le 17 août ?
96-97°F 57%
98-99 °F 25%
94-95 °F 12%
100-101 °F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
89°F ou moins
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95 °F
12%
96-97°F
57%
98-99 °F
25%
100-101 °F
5%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F ou plus
<1%
96-97°F 57%
98-99 °F 25%
94-95 °F 12%
100-101 °F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
89°F ou moins
$279 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$417 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$77 Vol.
4%
94-95 °F
$104 Vol.
12%
96-97°F
$547 Vol.
57%
98-99 °F
$272 Vol.
25%
100-101 °F
$99 Vol.
5%
102-103°F
$71 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$71 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$102 Vol.
<1%
108°F ou plus
$250 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate mostly sunny skies and high pressure over southeast Texas through August 17, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 90s°F amid typical late-summer insolation and low precipitable water. Houston’s urban heat island and light southeasterly flow further favor peak readings near 96–97°F, aligning with the market’s leading 57.5% implied probability. Drier antecedent conditions have limited evaporative cooling, while climatological August averages hover near 93–95°F, providing a baseline traders are adjusting upward based on the current subsidence pattern. Model spread remains modest, with limited upside risk to 100°F or higher absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$2,288Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate mostly sunny skies and high pressure over southeast Texas through August 17, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 90s°F amid typical late-summer insolation and low precipitable water. Houston’s urban heat island and light southeasterly flow further favor peak readings near 96–97°F, aligning with the market’s leading 57.5% implied probability. Drier antecedent conditions have limited evaporative cooling, while climatological August averages hover near 93–95°F, providing a baseline traders are adjusting upward based on the current subsidence pattern. Model spread remains modest, with limited upside risk to 100°F or higher absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,288Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate mostly sunny skies and high pressure over southeast Texas through August 17, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 90s°F amid typical late-summer insolation and low precipitable water. Houston’s urban heat island and light southeasterly flow further favor peak readings near 96–97°F, aligning with the market’s leading 57.5% implied probability. Drier antecedent conditions have limited evaporative cooling, while climatological August averages hover near 93–95°F, providing a baseline traders are adjusting upward based on the current subsidence pattern. Model spread remains modest, with limited upside risk to 100°F or higher absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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