Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions over Houston are positioning the daily high near the upper 90s on August 16, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing 95–98°F under strong southerly Gulf flow and limited afternoon convection. This setup favors the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 48.5% implied probability, as typical late-summer insolation and modest sea-breeze moderation rarely exceed 98°F in mid-August climatology. Recent model runs reinforce the mid-to-upper 90s range while assigning only low-single-digit odds to 100°F+ outcomes, reflecting historical rarity and the slim chance of clearer skies boosting peak temperatures. Traders are weighting these forecasts heavily given the day’s resolution criteria at official stations like Hobby Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Houston le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Houston le 16 août ?
96-97°F 50%
94-95°F 26%
98-99°F 22%
92-93°F 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
50%
98-99°F
22%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F ou plus
<1%
96-97°F 50%
94-95°F 26%
98-99°F 22%
92-93°F 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
87°F or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$639 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$185 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$381 Vol.
4%
94-95°F
$639 Vol.
26%
96-97°F
$1,380 Vol.
50%
98-99°F
$316 Vol.
22%
100-101°F
$233 Vol.
4%
102-103°F
$163 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$52 Vol.
<1%
106°F ou plus
$654 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions over Houston are positioning the daily high near the upper 90s on August 16, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing 95–98°F under strong southerly Gulf flow and limited afternoon convection. This setup favors the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 48.5% implied probability, as typical late-summer insolation and modest sea-breeze moderation rarely exceed 98°F in mid-August climatology. Recent model runs reinforce the mid-to-upper 90s range while assigning only low-single-digit odds to 100°F+ outcomes, reflecting historical rarity and the slim chance of clearer skies boosting peak temperatures. Traders are weighting these forecasts heavily given the day’s resolution criteria at official stations like Hobby Airport.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Volume
$4,683Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions over Houston are positioning the daily high near the upper 90s on August 16, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing 95–98°F under strong southerly Gulf flow and limited afternoon convection. This setup favors the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 48.5% implied probability, as typical late-summer insolation and modest sea-breeze moderation rarely exceed 98°F in mid-August climatology. Recent model runs reinforce the mid-to-upper 90s range while assigning only low-single-digit odds to 100°F+ outcomes, reflecting historical rarity and the slim chance of clearer skies boosting peak temperatures. Traders are weighting these forecasts heavily given the day’s resolution criteria at official stations like Hobby Airport.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,683Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions over Houston are positioning the daily high near the upper 90s on August 16, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing 95–98°F under strong southerly Gulf flow and limited afternoon convection. This setup favors the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 48.5% implied probability, as typical late-summer insolation and modest sea-breeze moderation rarely exceed 98°F in mid-August climatology. Recent model runs reinforce the mid-to-upper 90s range while assigning only low-single-digit odds to 100°F+ outcomes, reflecting historical rarity and the slim chance of clearer skies boosting peak temperatures. Traders are weighting these forecasts heavily given the day’s resolution criteria at official stations like Hobby Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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