Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston on August 15 points to a high in the mid-90s, with 96–97 °F emerging as the most probable outcome under persistent late-summer southerly flow off the Gulf, high dew points, and mostly sunny conditions. August climatology favors daily maxima near 94–95 °F, and recent model runs show only modest afternoon sea-breeze moderation without incoming fronts or tropical influences that would push readings to 100 °F or drop them below 94 °F. Trader consensus around the 96–97 °F bin (48.5 % implied) and 94–95 °F bin (32.5 %) therefore reflects alignment between these official forecasts, historical baselines, and limited short-term variability expected before final model updates overnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Houston le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Houston le 15 août ?
96-97°F 49%
94-95°F 32%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
85°F ou moins
<1%
30-30,5°C
<1%
88-89 °F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
49%
98-99°F
16%
100-101 °F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F ou plus
<1%
96-97°F 49%
94-95°F 32%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
85°F ou moins
$170 Vol.
<1%
30-30,5°C
$308 Vol.
<1%
88-89 °F
$422 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$294 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$372 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$701 Vol.
32%
96-97°F
$2,770 Vol.
49%
98-99°F
$614 Vol.
16%
100-101 °F
$226 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$405 Vol.
<1%
104°F ou plus
$537 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston on August 15 points to a high in the mid-90s, with 96–97 °F emerging as the most probable outcome under persistent late-summer southerly flow off the Gulf, high dew points, and mostly sunny conditions. August climatology favors daily maxima near 94–95 °F, and recent model runs show only modest afternoon sea-breeze moderation without incoming fronts or tropical influences that would push readings to 100 °F or drop them below 94 °F. Trader consensus around the 96–97 °F bin (48.5 % implied) and 94–95 °F bin (32.5 %) therefore reflects alignment between these official forecasts, historical baselines, and limited short-term variability expected before final model updates overnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$6,821Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston on August 15 points to a high in the mid-90s, with 96–97 °F emerging as the most probable outcome under persistent late-summer southerly flow off the Gulf, high dew points, and mostly sunny conditions. August climatology favors daily maxima near 94–95 °F, and recent model runs show only modest afternoon sea-breeze moderation without incoming fronts or tropical influences that would push readings to 100 °F or drop them below 94 °F. Trader consensus around the 96–97 °F bin (48.5 % implied) and 94–95 °F bin (32.5 %) therefore reflects alignment between these official forecasts, historical baselines, and limited short-term variability expected before final model updates overnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,821Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston on August 15 points to a high in the mid-90s, with 96–97 °F emerging as the most probable outcome under persistent late-summer southerly flow off the Gulf, high dew points, and mostly sunny conditions. August climatology favors daily maxima near 94–95 °F, and recent model runs show only modest afternoon sea-breeze moderation without incoming fronts or tropical influences that would push readings to 100 °F or drop them below 94 °F. Trader consensus around the 96–97 °F bin (48.5 % implied) and 94–95 °F bin (32.5 %) therefore reflects alignment between these official forecasts, historical baselines, and limited short-term variability expected before final model updates overnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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