Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Mexico City near 25–26°C on August 16, aligning with the market's strong preference for 26°C at 55.5% implied probability. Typical August conditions feature highs averaging 24–25°C due to the rainy season's cloud cover and afternoon showers, which limit intense solar heating at the city's high elevation. Current model consensus and observational trends support a modest upward shift without reaching the rarer 27°C or higher thresholds priced lower by traders. Updated forecasts or final hourly readings before evening resolution could refine these probabilities, reflecting the narrow range of historical variability for the date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 16 août ?
26°C 56%
27°C 22%
25°C 19%
24°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
19%
26°C
56%
27°C
22%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 56%
27°C 22%
25°C 19%
24°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$20 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$658 Vol.
1%
24°C
$471 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,284 Vol.
19%
26°C
$748 Vol.
56%
27°C
$1,864 Vol.
22%
28°C
$330 Vol.
2%
29°C
$193 Vol.
1%
30°C
$300 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$380 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Mexico City near 25–26°C on August 16, aligning with the market's strong preference for 26°C at 55.5% implied probability. Typical August conditions feature highs averaging 24–25°C due to the rainy season's cloud cover and afternoon showers, which limit intense solar heating at the city's high elevation. Current model consensus and observational trends support a modest upward shift without reaching the rarer 27°C or higher thresholds priced lower by traders. Updated forecasts or final hourly readings before evening resolution could refine these probabilities, reflecting the narrow range of historical variability for the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$6,268Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Mexico City near 25–26°C on August 16, aligning with the market's strong preference for 26°C at 55.5% implied probability. Typical August conditions feature highs averaging 24–25°C due to the rainy season's cloud cover and afternoon showers, which limit intense solar heating at the city's high elevation. Current model consensus and observational trends support a modest upward shift without reaching the rarer 27°C or higher thresholds priced lower by traders. Updated forecasts or final hourly readings before evening resolution could refine these probabilities, reflecting the narrow range of historical variability for the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,268Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Mexico City near 25–26°C on August 16, aligning with the market's strong preference for 26°C at 55.5% implied probability. Typical August conditions feature highs averaging 24–25°C due to the rainy season's cloud cover and afternoon showers, which limit intense solar heating at the city's high elevation. Current model consensus and observational trends support a modest upward shift without reaching the rarer 27°C or higher thresholds priced lower by traders. Updated forecasts or final hourly readings before evening resolution could refine these probabilities, reflecting the narrow range of historical variability for the date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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