Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Chongqing's August 4 maximum reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecasts for this subtropical basin city, where typical early-August highs average near 33°C amid high humidity. Key differentiating factors include variable monsoon moisture and potential afternoon convection or cloud cover that could cap temperatures near 30–31°C versus clearer, more stable conditions allowing 32°C or higher. Official guidance from monitoring agencies emphasizes model spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours, with urban heat-island effects adding local variability. New observational data and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely sharpen resolution criteria for this narrow temperature band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 4 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 4 août ?
31°C 32%
30°C 31%
32°C 25%
33°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
27°C ou moins
5%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C
31%
31°C
32%
32°C
25%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C ou plus
2%
31°C 32%
30°C 31%
32°C 25%
33°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
27°C ou moins
$37 Vol.
5%
28°C
$3 Vol.
5%
29°C
$11 Vol.
8%
30°C
$8 Vol.
31%
31°C
$14 Vol.
32%
32°C
$3 Vol.
25%
33°C
$3 Vol.
9%
34°C
$15 Vol.
2%
35°C
$21 Vol.
1%
36°C
$20 Vol.
2%
37°C ou plus
$15 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Chongqing's August 4 maximum reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecasts for this subtropical basin city, where typical early-August highs average near 33°C amid high humidity. Key differentiating factors include variable monsoon moisture and potential afternoon convection or cloud cover that could cap temperatures near 30–31°C versus clearer, more stable conditions allowing 32°C or higher. Official guidance from monitoring agencies emphasizes model spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours, with urban heat-island effects adding local variability. New observational data and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely sharpen resolution criteria for this narrow temperature band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$149Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Chongqing's August 4 maximum reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecasts for this subtropical basin city, where typical early-August highs average near 33°C amid high humidity. Key differentiating factors include variable monsoon moisture and potential afternoon convection or cloud cover that could cap temperatures near 30–31°C versus clearer, more stable conditions allowing 32°C or higher. Official guidance from monitoring agencies emphasizes model spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours, with urban heat-island effects adding local variability. New observational data and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely sharpen resolution criteria for this narrow temperature band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$149Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Chongqing's August 4 maximum reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecasts for this subtropical basin city, where typical early-August highs average near 33°C amid high humidity. Key differentiating factors include variable monsoon moisture and potential afternoon convection or cloud cover that could cap temperatures near 30–31°C versus clearer, more stable conditions allowing 32°C or higher. Official guidance from monitoring agencies emphasizes model spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours, with urban heat-island effects adding local variability. New observational data and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely sharpen resolution criteria for this narrow temperature band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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