Traders see near-even odds between 96–97°F and 98–99°F for Dallas’s July 24 high because short-range models show a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, dry conditions with southerly flow. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs cluster maximum temperatures around 97–100°F, consistent with the month’s climatological average near 103°F yet tempered by slightly lower dew points. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include afternoon mixing depth and any subtle cloud cover or wind shifts that could shave 1–2°F off peak readings. With the market resolving on official observations, traders weigh the latest model consensus against historical analogs for late-July heat under similar synoptic patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 24 juillet ?
Température la plus élevée à Dallas le 24 juillet ?
96-97°F 40%
98-99°F 33%
94-95°F 18%
100-101°F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 juil. 2026
91°F or below
2%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
18%
96-97°F
40%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 40%
98-99°F 33%
94-95°F 18%
100-101°F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 juil. 2026
91°F or below
$26 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$22 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$384 Vol.
18%
96-97°F
$178 Vol.
40%
98-99°F
$47 Vol.
33%
100-101°F
$29 Vol.
7%
102-103°F
$50 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$49 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$162 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$535 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$274 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds between 96–97°F and 98–99°F for Dallas’s July 24 high because short-range models show a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, dry conditions with southerly flow. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs cluster maximum temperatures around 97–100°F, consistent with the month’s climatological average near 103°F yet tempered by slightly lower dew points. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include afternoon mixing depth and any subtle cloud cover or wind shifts that could shave 1–2°F off peak readings. With the market resolving on official observations, traders weigh the latest model consensus against historical analogs for late-July heat under similar synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,631Date de fin
24 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds between 96–97°F and 98–99°F for Dallas’s July 24 high because short-range models show a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, dry conditions with southerly flow. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs cluster maximum temperatures around 97–100°F, consistent with the month’s climatological average near 103°F yet tempered by slightly lower dew points. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include afternoon mixing depth and any subtle cloud cover or wind shifts that could shave 1–2°F off peak readings. With the market resolving on official observations, traders weigh the latest model consensus against historical analogs for late-July heat under similar synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,631Date de fin
24 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see near-even odds between 96–97°F and 98–99°F for Dallas’s July 24 high because short-range models show a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, dry conditions with southerly flow. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs cluster maximum temperatures around 97–100°F, consistent with the month’s climatological average near 103°F yet tempered by slightly lower dew points. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include afternoon mixing depth and any subtle cloud cover or wind shifts that could shave 1–2°F off peak readings. With the market resolving on official observations, traders weigh the latest model consensus against historical analogs for late-July heat under similar synoptic patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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