Traders see the 30–31°C range as most probable for Hong Kong’s June 27 maximum because ensemble forecasts from global models show only modest spread around seasonal norms for late June, when the summer monsoon typically brings highs near 30–32°C. Recent surface observations and short-range guidance indicate limited potential for stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover that could push readings to 32°C or higher, while urban heat-island effects and sea-breeze timing introduce enough variability to keep 29°C in play. Official agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory will issue updated bulletins before the market resolves, and any shift in model consensus on moisture or wind patterns could quickly move implied probabilities among the tightly grouped outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 27?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 27?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$172,548 Vol.
$172,548 Vol.
27 juin 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$172,548 Vol.
$172,548 Vol.
27 juin 2026
25°C or below
$5,968 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,037 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,760 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$16,035 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$31,969 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$39,611 Vol.
100%
31°C
$34,102 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$24,073 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$11,025 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,549 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$419 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the 30–31°C range as most probable for Hong Kong’s June 27 maximum because ensemble forecasts from global models show only modest spread around seasonal norms for late June, when the summer monsoon typically brings highs near 30–32°C. Recent surface observations and short-range guidance indicate limited potential for stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover that could push readings to 32°C or higher, while urban heat-island effects and sea-breeze timing introduce enough variability to keep 29°C in play. Official agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory will issue updated bulletins before the market resolves, and any shift in model consensus on moisture or wind patterns could quickly move implied probabilities among the tightly grouped outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$172,548Date de fin
27 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the 30–31°C range as most probable for Hong Kong’s June 27 maximum because ensemble forecasts from global models show only modest spread around seasonal norms for late June, when the summer monsoon typically brings highs near 30–32°C. Recent surface observations and short-range guidance indicate limited potential for stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover that could push readings to 32°C or higher, while urban heat-island effects and sea-breeze timing introduce enough variability to keep 29°C in play. Official agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory will issue updated bulletins before the market resolves, and any shift in model consensus on moisture or wind patterns could quickly move implied probabilities among the tightly grouped outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$172,548Date de fin
27 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 30–31°C range as most probable for Hong Kong’s June 27 maximum because ensemble forecasts from global models show only modest spread around seasonal norms for late June, when the summer monsoon typically brings highs near 30–32°C. Recent surface observations and short-range guidance indicate limited potential for stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover that could push readings to 32°C or higher, while urban heat-island effects and sea-breeze timing introduce enough variability to keep 29°C in play. Official agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory will issue updated bulletins before the market resolves, and any shift in model consensus on moisture or wind patterns could quickly move implied probabilities among the tightly grouped outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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