A persistent European heat dome and advection of warm subtropical air have driven recent highs near or above 35°C across northern Italy, including red alerts for Milan through the weekend, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–34°C for June 30. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus near 34–35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread arises from potential weak trough influences or localized convection that could cap peaks near 32–33°C. Recent surface observations confirm elevated baselines from the ongoing heatwave, while any early-week moisture increase or cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift resolution toward lower outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 30 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 30 juin ?
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
32°C 27%
35°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juin 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
27%
33°C
29%
34°C
28%
35°C
13%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C ou plus
<1%
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
32°C 27%
35°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juin 2026
28°C or below
$351 Vol.
1%
29°C
$45 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
3%
31°C
$36 Vol.
6%
32°C
$94 Vol.
27%
33°C
$29 Vol.
29%
34°C
$12 Vol.
28%
35°C
$474 Vol.
13%
36°C
$29 Vol.
4%
37°C
$33 Vol.
1%
38°C ou plus
$455 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent European heat dome and advection of warm subtropical air have driven recent highs near or above 35°C across northern Italy, including red alerts for Milan through the weekend, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–34°C for June 30. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus near 34–35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread arises from potential weak trough influences or localized convection that could cap peaks near 32–33°C. Recent surface observations confirm elevated baselines from the ongoing heatwave, while any early-week moisture increase or cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift resolution toward lower outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,555Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent European heat dome and advection of warm subtropical air have driven recent highs near or above 35°C across northern Italy, including red alerts for Milan through the weekend, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–34°C for June 30. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus near 34–35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread arises from potential weak trough influences or localized convection that could cap peaks near 32–33°C. Recent surface observations confirm elevated baselines from the ongoing heatwave, while any early-week moisture increase or cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift resolution toward lower outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,555Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...A persistent European heat dome and advection of warm subtropical air have driven recent highs near or above 35°C across northern Italy, including red alerts for Milan through the weekend, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–34°C for June 30. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus near 34–35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread arises from potential weak trough influences or localized convection that could cap peaks near 32–33°C. Recent surface observations confirm elevated baselines from the ongoing heatwave, while any early-week moisture increase or cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift resolution toward lower outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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