Short-range forecast models show Istanbul under stable high pressure with light northerly Etesian winds and minimal cloud cover through July 20, favoring daytime highs near the July climatological average of 28–30 °C. Subtle differences among 28–31 °C outcomes hinge on exact wind speed, sea-breeze timing from the Bosphorus and Marmara, and urban heat-island amplification in central districts versus coastal stations. Stronger meltemi gusts or brief marine-layer intrusions would cap maxima near 28 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds could push readings to 31 °C. Recent regional warmth in 2025–26 provides a slightly elevated baseline, yet model spread remains wide enough that traders assign comparable probabilities across the narrow 28–31 °C band ahead of updated runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 20 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 20 juillet ?
29°C 32%
28°C 26%
30°C 24%
32°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 juil. 2026
23°C ou moins
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
11%
28°C
26%
29°C
32%
30°C
24%
31°C
12%
32°C
11%
33°C ou plus
3%
29°C 32%
28°C 26%
30°C 24%
32°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 juil. 2026
23°C ou moins
$15 Vol.
1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
11%
28°C
$7 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
32%
30°C
$0 Vol.
24%
31°C
$0 Vol.
12%
32°C
$140 Vol.
11%
33°C ou plus
$101 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models show Istanbul under stable high pressure with light northerly Etesian winds and minimal cloud cover through July 20, favoring daytime highs near the July climatological average of 28–30 °C. Subtle differences among 28–31 °C outcomes hinge on exact wind speed, sea-breeze timing from the Bosphorus and Marmara, and urban heat-island amplification in central districts versus coastal stations. Stronger meltemi gusts or brief marine-layer intrusions would cap maxima near 28 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds could push readings to 31 °C. Recent regional warmth in 2025–26 provides a slightly elevated baseline, yet model spread remains wide enough that traders assign comparable probabilities across the narrow 28–31 °C band ahead of updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$268Date de fin
20 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models show Istanbul under stable high pressure with light northerly Etesian winds and minimal cloud cover through July 20, favoring daytime highs near the July climatological average of 28–30 °C. Subtle differences among 28–31 °C outcomes hinge on exact wind speed, sea-breeze timing from the Bosphorus and Marmara, and urban heat-island amplification in central districts versus coastal stations. Stronger meltemi gusts or brief marine-layer intrusions would cap maxima near 28 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds could push readings to 31 °C. Recent regional warmth in 2025–26 provides a slightly elevated baseline, yet model spread remains wide enough that traders assign comparable probabilities across the narrow 28–31 °C band ahead of updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$268Date de fin
20 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast models show Istanbul under stable high pressure with light northerly Etesian winds and minimal cloud cover through July 20, favoring daytime highs near the July climatological average of 28–30 °C. Subtle differences among 28–31 °C outcomes hinge on exact wind speed, sea-breeze timing from the Bosphorus and Marmara, and urban heat-island amplification in central districts versus coastal stations. Stronger meltemi gusts or brief marine-layer intrusions would cap maxima near 28 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds could push readings to 31 °C. Recent regional warmth in 2025–26 provides a slightly elevated baseline, yet model spread remains wide enough that traders assign comparable probabilities across the narrow 28–31 °C band ahead of updated runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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